Premier League · resolved market
Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b515476e895cd0f39a2e785ba7763e5b70345636c2aec8e261b1540e08e9de3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 41c | 5,686$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Over | 15c | 2,019$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.05 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,401$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.29 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…32f9backed Over | 27c | 994.6$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…5f27backed Under | 73c | 994.6$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 970.76$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.36 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 74c | 904.53$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.53 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 32c | 312.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd7…791cbacked Over | 27c | 304.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a97…9e7bbacked Under | 73c | 304.45$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked Over | 68c | 258.35$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…873dbacked Under | 78c | 256.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 22c | 237.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 185.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 28c | 117.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 100.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 40c | 92.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 75.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 27c | 75.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…3d96backed Under | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Over | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 74c | 39.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7190…00e7backed Over | 48c | 37.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 38c | 29.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 74c | 23.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 68c | 21.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed Under | 62c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…bb75backed Over | 63c | 16.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hull City AFC (-1.5)Oxford United FC won
- Spread: Oxford United FC (-2.5)Hull City AFC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.