TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,484

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c7,789$3,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,220.213049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c4,600$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,665.5398844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Over55c3,565$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.8914060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x085e…9aeabacked Over57c2,681$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c2,106$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.0143748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over63c2,100$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3166946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under41c1,921$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.2647850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over54c1,861$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.79520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-64%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over53c1,699$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9003647.2%17 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Over62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa083…19c9backed Over62c918.45$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e0a…8521backed Under47c905.29$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over61c817.04$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.566958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under39c752.86$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.6824732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over51c717.58$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.977254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Over69c713.92$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.141010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-86.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over61c703.44$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.12850%14 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under44c701.81$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.612650%13 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over63c653.97$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4124753.2%25 W · 22 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over55c635$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over61c612.09$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.948853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under31c572.1$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.921136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Under23c500$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3875119.6%10 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fca…e8edbacked Under60c480.79$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+71.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over62c467.74$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over61c430$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.26650%33 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over55c428.16$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.992450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under20c386.3$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.041747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under38c380$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.611940.3%48 W · 71 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over57c379.14$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.948353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under30c336.9$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2223551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under49c330.74$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.163253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under47c327.85$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.953850%19 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over63c317.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9579…44d4backed Over65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.771369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+170%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Over79c300$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2372157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under30c295.38$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.522842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under37c282.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.211057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over62c276.29$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.32161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under42c266.63$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.891241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c265.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9732453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15513243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under38c228.53$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.7510837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over68c219.6$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503964.1%25 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over57c215.79$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.171060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over67c211.39$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2330536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under37c210$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under37c210$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6b…d10abacked Under38c203$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under44c201.69$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.294148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c201.12$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8928659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c4…9a90backed Over64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12850%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under34c191.51$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.314951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Under30c189.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.991050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under37c185$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.551163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under39c183.13$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.712748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over76c180.08$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.782650%13 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over63c171.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.291435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under39c153.18$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe331…d13ebacked Over56c153.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over70c151.64$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.411816.7%3 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-59.4%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Over69c144.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.53650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over69c144.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5330954.7%169 W · 140 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under31c136.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0112156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over76c131.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over61c131.13$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.991540%6 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over64c130$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.27365.8%48 W · 25 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over69c127.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.976050%30 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under36c126.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5913540.7%55 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over62c125.68$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.922748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe64b…9e97backed Over63c122.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over55c119.82$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Under40c115.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.241070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+61.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over63c111.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c1…1fc1backed Over63c110.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under38c105$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.13745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.562646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe10a…7ee7backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30b9…9b83backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Over52c96.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.39065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e1…7a37backed Over53c96.25$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under29c95.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.676823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb9d…92ddbacked Under16c95.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+204.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b3…8598backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Under36c87.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+113.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-43.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Over61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under39c81.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.992070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56c2…abcbbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under38c76.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.56162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over72c75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick64cpaid-73.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed Over61c73.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x700f…a69bbacked Under40c70$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.