Australian A League · resolved market
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6afefe5b27412bb71611e12bfa4b854cbde38b54414d6273ee36217dd5886bec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b22…ddcabacked No | 38c | 7,937$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,996.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 62c | 3,426$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.01 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.68 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +19.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe10a…7ee7backed Yes | 63c | 1,160$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…9a90backed No | 37c | 960$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 32c | 743.58$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.89 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Yes | 68c | 663.24$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.24 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 618.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 64c | 554.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.09 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 65c | 530.31$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.61 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 70c | 495.5$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.65 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 33c | 479.63$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…2134backed Yes | 64c | 408.42$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 33c | 395.26$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 305 | 36.1%110 W · 195 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 20c | 287.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed No | 20c | 251.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 62c | 238$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 61c | 187.88$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Yes | 75c | 146$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Yes | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 38c | 132.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 66c | 130$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 66c | 116$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 64c | 100.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…9fd5backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 65c | 86.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc003…47a8backed Yes | 66c | 81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 76.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 64c | 76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Yes | 65c | 73.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 62c | 70.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Yes | 59c | 68.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…1618backed No | 37c | 67.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 75c | 67.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 74c | 67.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 77c | 65.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 63c | 60.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 64c | 58.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 20c | 58.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Yes | 68c | 54.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 66cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 62c | 53.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Yes | 64c | 53.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 65c | 47.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…2519backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…7f28backed Yes | 63c | 42.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…2befbacked No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c30…d9e5backed Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Yes | 64c | 34.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…8320backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Yes | 66c | 30.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked Yes | 66c | 28.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3297…43cdbacked Yes | 63c | 23.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…4897backed Yes | 63c | 23.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7094…a734backed Yes | 63c | 21.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 63c | 20.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 65c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed Yes | 65c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…f76cbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)Auckland FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)Adelaide United FC won
- Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)Adelaide United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.