TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,846
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,846 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Under60c19,881$11,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,942.752259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Over41c12,200$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.672737%10 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c5,942$3,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,415.5298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over39c5,705$2,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,206.0530536.1%110 W · 195 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under63c4,462$2,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over42c2,295$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.881735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under58c1,462$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.947850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over38c1,225$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.765925.4%15 W · 44 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ef1…cea5backed Over1c1,143$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.431010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-86.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over40c1,070$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over31c897.07$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.31136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over40c705.91$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.588625.6%22 W · 64 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Over42c524.5$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.283938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Over40c462.68$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.071163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over23c441.51$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4124732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under59c424.16$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.492070%14 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Under73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.961040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0a…8521backed Under60c397.54$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over40c363.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over40c363.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.45255.8%29 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over40c363.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.45154.9%28 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over40c363.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.45754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over40c363.5$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.44355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over39c349.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4911752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over45c332.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over40c317.25$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.93357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over40c317.25$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.96549.2%32 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over40c317.25$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.93756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over40c317.25$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under61c310$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.91560%9 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Under73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1112470.8%17 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Under71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.69540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-45.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Under65c278.26$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over40c269.45$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.783253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53eb…90ebbacked Under61c260.89$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.41747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over40c256.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4610757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Over40c250.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005048%24 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10510837%40 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa361…3ea7backed Over39c239.1$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked Under59c210$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+52.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed Under59c210$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under70c203$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9611858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over40c201.27$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.511241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c4…9a90backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over34c197.47$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.146958%40 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under67c195.25$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.328659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Over39c192.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over40c192.25$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over40c192.25$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under59c185$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.851163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under55c184.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.421118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-68.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7a0…aee2backed Under55c182$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under59c181.18$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2813243.2%57 W · 75 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…2935backed Under59c169.59$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.592878.6%22 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+45.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over40c167.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.14148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over22c148.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.856823.5%16 W · 52 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-29.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over40c145.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.167048.6%34 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over39c131.56$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3110839.8%43 W · 65 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under62c130$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.41855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-28%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503262.5%20 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over40c121.04$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.425255.8%29 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over39c120.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6132453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over36c107.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.338853.4%47 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over37c105.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6316865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over48c104.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under62c103.36$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.892147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…d76fbacked Over39c102.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…3d96backed Under52c102.25$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over40c101.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3311057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Under70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Under68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Under61c95.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.11757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over22c93.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.263345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over41c92.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.864337.2%16 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over32c92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.446147.5%29 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Under68c92$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.445853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over40c80.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.22846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over40c74.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Over26c74.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.552441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6b…d10abacked Under59c71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over39c69.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over40c67.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over40c67.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-78.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over27c66.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.954353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over30c65.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over41c63.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610357.3%59 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under63c61.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6714951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under69c56.25$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over40c52.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.931850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd531…dfabbacked Over38c51.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4950%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe331…d13ebacked Over45c51.02$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under60c50.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-51.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.