TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Under41c22,852$9,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,482.842065%13 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over59c21,459$12,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,660.693839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c7,196$4,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,792.594,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under52c5,620$2,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,706.126858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Over59c5,433$3,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,205.461442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Under42c5,333$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over58c5,042$2,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,924.44742.6%20 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over59c4,940$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.529244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over48c3,998$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.1917731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c3,548$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,089.0764457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c3,538$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76920054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c3,522$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.21,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over58c3,333$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.1224147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Under41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7701855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Over5c2,942$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.25560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over24c2,346$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.0112650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under41c2,321$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.538756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b22…ddcabacked Under42c2,298$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under42c2,041$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.395339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under41c1,829$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.098251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over10c1,801$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6310418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c1,636$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.212,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over58c1,306$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.4213054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa94f…6d6fbacked Over58c1,009$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under63c977.8$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.792941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c884.64$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.3283444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over58c840.34$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.49564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c802.75$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.271,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under66c752.79$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.520360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under66c750.37$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.9619260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under78c728.46$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.551,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc193…5160backed Over58c669.28$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd119…28abbacked Over59c666.17$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.043775.7%28 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c646.74$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2769750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34822746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c596.14$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.7475451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over32c586.34$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.692128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Over59c578.63$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+194.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under51c508.04$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.1422758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1155330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over59c495.97$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.623565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6ece…068abacked Under46c494.98$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.652259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over58c489.1$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6811736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under42c459.62$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.582657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under42c459.62$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.581573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over50c427.67$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.841435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over46c424.79$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.473638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over58c413.09$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.595244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over59c408.35$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.9211444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under49c398.95$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.123060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over48c338.82$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2549057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over58c336.4$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.953060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over59c330.64$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.084170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over57c280.42$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8448934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under53c267.62$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.956373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over42c251.48$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.856349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over59c247.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3111651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Under42c229.81$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.292733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over19c223.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4530842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5694…501cbacked Under42c217.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under53c215.51$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.43979.5%31 W · 8 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Over33c211.16$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.683834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over32c209.95$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.813,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c205$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.421,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c200$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over57c199.42$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.67837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…1d61backed Over59c195.72$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over58c194.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.0810820.4%22 W · 86 L-9.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under41c192.73$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7111853.4%63 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Over44c183.62$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.791526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5279…a8dbbacked Over59c183.06$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+92%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.248041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over42c179.8$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4538748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over58c168.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4817458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over58c168.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.476861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over18c166.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0844424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5574…47abbacked Under44c164.73$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.25650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x034a…e968backed Under50c157.53$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under69c156.38$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.174178%32 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Under42c149.71$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.833455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under42c140.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.387560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under43c134.76$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.815156.9%29 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Under64c122.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.031861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed Over59c122.02$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.993964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under41c116.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.321353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under42c114.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.652864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Over59c105.81$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.432835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1db2…2415backed Under53c104.46$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5915344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e4…4b21backed Over38c99.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.18540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+95.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under41c98.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.284755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a83…9c87backed Over59c97.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Over59c97.54$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.551323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under42c96.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.981546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over41c96.46$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5562744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over58c95.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.562867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.632560%15 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.