La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a32bc368befe2bccd6d9a1c80114ca2f37c2a3b5dd9dd92c45d5c4b9388a30b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Girona FCof Villarreal CF, Girona FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Villarreal CF | 20c | 2,810$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked Villarreal CF | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Villarreal CF | 22c | 1,037$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d88…1695backed Villarreal CF | 20c | 1,005$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Villarreal CF | 20c | 828.5$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.7 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Villarreal CF | 20c | 400.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.02 | 86 | 70.9%61 W · 25 L | +11.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…6946backed Villarreal CF | 21c | 367.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Girona FC | 79c | 362.96$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Girona FC | 78c | 362.62$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Girona FC | 79c | 256.77$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Girona FC | 78c | 246.6$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Girona FC | 79c | 227.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Girona FC | 79c | 227.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Girona FC | 80c | 226.34$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Girona FC | 80c | 224.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Girona FC | 80c | 224.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Girona FC | 80c | 224.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Girona FC | 80c | 224.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Girona FC | 80c | 224.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Villarreal CF | 20c | 175.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Villarreal CF | 20c | 173.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Villarreal CF | 16c | 161.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Villarreal CF | 20c | 144.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Villarreal CF | 20c | 144.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Villarreal CF | 20c | 144.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Girona FC | 79c | 141.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Girona FC | 80c | 138.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Girona FC | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Girona FC | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Girona FC | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Girona FC | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Girona FC | 80c | 123.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Villarreal CF | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Villarreal CF | 12c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Villarreal CF | 20c | 100.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…d01cbacked Villarreal CF | 20c | 99.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Girona FC | 80c | 89.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Villarreal CF | 20c | 88.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Girona FC | 80c | 77.84$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Girona FC | 79c | 74.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Girona FC | 79c | 74.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Girona FC | 79c | 71.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Villarreal CF | 23c | 62.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Villarreal CF | 20c | 61.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…bfb3backed Villarreal CF | 22c | 61.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Girona FC | 80c | 61.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…77cdbacked Girona FC | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Girona FC | 77c | 48.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Girona FC | 80c | 46.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba2…f46bbacked Girona FC | 80c | 46.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Girona FC | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Girona FC | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Girona FC | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Girona FC | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Girona FC | 80c | 26.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…a7fdbacked Girona FC | 79c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Girona FC | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 171 | 59.1%101 W · 70 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec5…5923backed Girona FC | 80c | 18.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Girona FC | 80c | 16.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Girona FC | 80c | 16.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Girona FC | 80c | 16.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a7…64fdbacked Girona FC | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)this page
- Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.