TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa8a7…64fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick73cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Ilia Simakinbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Madrid: Nicolas Jarry vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Nicolas Jarry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.74
Madrid: Lisa Pigato vs Laura Samsonbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Wuning: Clement Chidekh vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Clement Chidekh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$3.21
Sarasota: Stefan Dostanic vs Alex Rybakovbacked Alex Rybakov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$5.13
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Volynets vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$4.73
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$3.4
Wuning: Alastair Gray vs Yasutaka Uchiyamabacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$3.07
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Tom Gentzschbacked Remy Bertola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.17
Bucharest Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$6.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Ducksbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$4.5
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$3.14
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$13.17
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$7.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$4.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Girona FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.