South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb8847a8240fe97bc9da09aae187dd9506ed52ebf3f1b6933815bb923541434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,479
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,479 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 35c | 81,625$28,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,385.65 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 65c | 61,999$40,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,699.51 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 65c | 4,895$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.25 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 2,611$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.1 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 1,109$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.27 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 67c | 671.88$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 67c | 667.03$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.25 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 66c | 657.46$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.22 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 66c | 655.26$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.91 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 65c | 489.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 65c | 380.09$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.03 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 69c | 275.64$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 69c | 273.23$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 69c | 267.04$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 69c | 264.9$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 69c | 264.9$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 65c | 257.1$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 69c | 216.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 69c | 212.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 69c | 212.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.64 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 65c | 202.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 65c | 202.3$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 68c | 178.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed Under | 68c | 178.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 69c | 177.29$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 69c | 176.08$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 65c | 140.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 136.77$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 65c | 125.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Under | 65c | 125.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed Under | 65c | 120.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 65c | 119.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Under | 65c | 109.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 67c | 107.75$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 69c | 104.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e13…c506backed Under | 69c | 102.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 100.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Under | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 65c | 88.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c01…59a0backed Under | 65c | 87.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 67c | 85.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 31c | 77.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 65c | 76.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 66c | 74.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 76c | 64.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 54.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 65c | 50.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 34c | 45.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Under | 67c | 43.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 66c | 41.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…22d9backed Under | 65c | 41.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 65c | 40.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 65c | 40.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under | 69c | 39.24$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a7…64fdbacked Under | 65c | 27.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 71c | 17.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 68c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5this page
- Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)Independiente Medellín won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.