South American Leagues · resolved market
Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x814687a9c189e9387d532aebb6099da77139b5a2249a0dae0fe73ba6ee88527e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 47c | 137,232$63,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,907.47 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 59c | 59,730$35,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,355.12 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 41c | 44,840$18,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,580.39 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 6,197$3,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 3,591$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.82 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 2,117$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 64c | 1,520$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.44 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 64c | 1,520$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.44 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 64c | 1,520$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.44 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 64c | 1,520$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.44 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 64c | 1,508$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.24 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 64c | 1,508$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.24 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 64c | 1,384$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.15 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 64c | 781.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.34 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 64c | 764.34$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.16 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 64c | 763.98$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 746.66$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.53 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 48c | 586.7$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.24 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 64c | 569.43$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 63c | 494.52$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.56 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under | 64c | 489.21$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 439.97$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 272.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.03 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…dc3dbacked Over | 48c | 270.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over | 54c | 261.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 64c | 253.41$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 39c | 249.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.19 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Under | 39c | 241.06$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 62c | 206.31$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 68c | 196.16$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 65c | 179.62$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 59c | 178.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 64c | 173.41$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.43 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 64c | 163.15$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…fa38backed Under | 64c | 156.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550c…1e1abacked Over | 56c | 156.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 64c | 122.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Under | 61c | 119.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb38…f78dbacked Under | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 63c | 109.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 44c | 106.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 66c | 106.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 66c | 102.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Under | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 64c | 98.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 37c | 96.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 62c | 94.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 64c | 93.93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Under | 64c | 92.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 55c | 89.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 44c | 82.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Under | 61c | 80.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…6f4cbacked Under | 64c | 76.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 66c | 74.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Under | 66c | 74.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Under | 64c | 71.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 28c | 71.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…c7a6backed Over | 36c | 69.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 65c | 68.6$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 37c | 65.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…bd53backed Over | 52c | 62.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Under | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 67c | 60.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 45c | 59.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…da1ebacked Under | 64c | 52.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 66c | 51.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 64c | 43.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Under | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Under | 63c | 38.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 39c | 37.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…22d9backed Under | 59c | 36.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9b…c04fbacked Over | 41c | 36.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Under | 60c | 34.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…0cb2backed Under | 64c | 33.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Under | 64c | 32.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 64c | 31.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 57c | 30.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Under | 64c | 30.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 39c | 29.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 39c | 29.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed Under | 41c | 28.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…dffdbacked Under | 64c | 27.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…94fbbacked Under | 64c | 24.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 63c | 24.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 73c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 75c | 22.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Under | 64c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4666…3a55backed Under | 64c | 19.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 64c | 18.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5this page
- Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Estudiantes de La Plata (-2.5)Independiente Medellín won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.