TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Over64c131,492$84,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,338.644238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under36c60,740$21,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,866.261,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c16,256$5,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,844.018,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c6,333$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.035,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under36c4,009$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.4357157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under36c4,003$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.9733560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under36c4,003$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.9747756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under36c3,886$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.1765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under36c3,886$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.1741256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under36c3,478$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.9312361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under36c2,328$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.622,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under37c2,273$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.39248.9%45 W · 47 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under36c2,120$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.1228158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under36c1,543$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.3472450.6%366 W · 358 L-24.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under36c1,336$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.836757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under35c1,031$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2516759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under15c860.09$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7410564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under36c728.05$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.17955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over75c693.84$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4699259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under36c675.51$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.187857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under36c667.78$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.419056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under36c533.69$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.132,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under36c456.41$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.5620059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe35…5d8bbacked Under15c421.3$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under36c395.97$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5516160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x967e…2fb6backed Under11c353.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over75c311.48$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.832,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under36c307.84$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1216459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1618859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.167867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Under36c261.64$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.197957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under36c214.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1517857.3%102 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Under36c213.66$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.928961.8%55 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under36c200.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.073458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x788e…e086backed Under36c191.76$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.031442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under31c175.4$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5726160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under36c145.73$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.468964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under36c144.35$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.964052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa0b…90fdbacked Under36c141.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-36.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under36c141.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8444959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d1f…acafbacked Under36c136.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.182245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.241687.5%14 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.15per pick73cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over67c136.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0426965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under36c133.56$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0815654.5%85 W · 71 L+0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce10…6f4cbacked Under36c133.53$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.07944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under35c125.05$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1329245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Under36c119.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e1…da1ebacked Under36c118.84$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.78850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under36c106.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4622145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…c5afbacked Under19c101.62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.02742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under14c101.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.238451.2%43 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under30c100.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.43,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over64c99.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8383642.9%359 W · 477 L-3.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Under36c88.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.874156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Under36c87.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.537156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25d0…bd0fbacked Under15c84.25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under25c82.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3811664.7%75 W · 41 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under36c80.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8512259%72 W · 50 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under36c74.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7434155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over68c73.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4731355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa59f…2e59backed Under36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.041330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.048647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Under36c66.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.81030%3 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-48.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under36c64.91$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.378851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Under36c64.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.154761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4c…94fbbacked Under36c64.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.08714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-77.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under36c62.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5638861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Under36c61.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.172860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under22c60.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.422454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…0cb2backed Under36c57.19$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.591866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+65.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed Under37c55.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.852646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under36c54.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7619264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Under36c54.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.735860.3%35 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Under36c50.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.046845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over76c48.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfaa5…22d9backed Under36c36.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59d7…f69dbacked Under36c35.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a83…635bbacked Under36c33.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c0d…a6d4backed Under36c33.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.03540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-43.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over75c21.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.286352.4%33 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over64c19.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.042650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…e568backed Over67c19.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.282259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d9f…6bc6backed Over64c15.65$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.