TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaa5…22d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Barcelona Open: Mariano Navone vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$9.31
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Sebastian Baezbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$20.81
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$13.35
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$6.03
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$5.03
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.83
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Terence Atmanebacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$8.28
Sarasota: Daniel Galan vs Garrett Johnsbacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$7.2
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$8.54
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$10.83
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$5.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75%+$15.66
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.05
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$11.94
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$4.49
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$5.03
76ers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$13.23
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$15.38
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$6.51
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.03
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$4.68
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$10.57
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$20.3
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$11.08
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29%+$10.49
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$13.28
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+203%+$42.29
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$12.23
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.71
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.26
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.47
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$9.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-46.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$72.8
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+79.5%+$20.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$5.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$10.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.