TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$259,333
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,333 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Over50c224,998$112,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112,521.1618352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c64,460$32,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,229.821,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under50c40,362$20,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,180.884858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c28,004$13,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,933.335,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedef…a67ebacked Under0c20,950$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under50c10,856$5,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,427.8713049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c8,687$4,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,196.278,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cf…e292backed Under50c6,201$3,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,100.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under50c6,064$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,030.765058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under50c5,800$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9008351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under50c5,714$2,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,857.146357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under50c4,612$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under44c3,817$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.751,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7549…9745backed Under1c3,642$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.361030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c3,110$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5557556%42 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under50c2,911$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.65543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under50c2,480$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2403754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155b…f29dbacked Under50c2,326$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under50c2,053$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.2957157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under50c1,985$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.4411856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under50c1,984$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.2341256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c1,984$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.1847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under50c1,220$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.8916653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under50c1,110$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55522853.1%121 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under50c1,012$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50614540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023057.4%132 W · 98 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5005050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…f513backed Under50c920$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Under50c864$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35018742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under50c601$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.59457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…5403backed Under50c576.93$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.473773%27 W · 10 L+6.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under50c450.69$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3519056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under50c399.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9847758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under50c398.4$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.263657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb6…c637backed Under52c346.15$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c336.69$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.982,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under50c316.72$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.363756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under9c300.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.610250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10221752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e8…0f39backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under50c288.91$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.461450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed Under50c279.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.977162%44 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under47c249.16$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0920059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x738e…dc37backed Under50c222.44$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a9a…989abacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under51c184.96$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.312,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under50c171.86$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9333266.3%220 W · 112 L+24.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Under50c163.28$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.641968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505026%13 W · 37 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under50c149.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.852766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under50c141.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.83066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5876951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under53c113.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.986541.5%27 W · 38 L-9.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under50c113.46$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.734465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under49c105$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6532936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under52c104.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4510564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over77c103.52$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under50c102.26$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5044959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.59854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x758e…ad1cbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506842.6%29 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under50c99.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9738861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under50c91.62$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8526160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under50c84.94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.475660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Under50c71.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.987857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Under50c67.46$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.737867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Under50c65.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.752560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae9…a6d5backed Under50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under50c55.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.734155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb6…9ce6backed Under50c52.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.17616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511553%61 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Under50c49.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9916459.8%98 W · 66 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Under50c48.08$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.041526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Under50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244667.4%31 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under50c47.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8519356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under50c47.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7318154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.483429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under50c42.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2316160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Under50c41.76$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.88825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a0b…d92cbacked Under36c41.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc13c…d465backed Under51c40.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under50c39.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9328665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2256…e997backed Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-38.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Under35c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+57%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under50c33.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.715940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.