South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb373e033dea9eacf0a9e009c160a95115288cdcd471fba30e6480329c99e653d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pumas de la UNAMof Pumas de la UNAM, Mazatlán FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Pumas de la UNAM | 55c | 7,503$4,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.33 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mazatlán FC | 45c | 1,755$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.75 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mazatlán FC | 45c | 1,507$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.48 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Mazatlán FC | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Pumas de la UNAM | 49c | 1,067$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.39 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Mazatlán FC | 44c | 1,018$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.65 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Mazatlán FC | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Mazatlán FC | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Mazatlán FC | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Mazatlán FC | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Mazatlán FC | 45c | 733$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.85 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mazatlán FC | 29c | 675.39$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pumas de la UNAM | 69c | 511.82$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Pumas de la UNAM | 54c | 400.79$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.51 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mazatlán FC | 45c | 389$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Pumas de la UNAM | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Mazatlán FC | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Mazatlán FC | 38c | 255$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mazatlán FC | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 48c | 238$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Pumas de la UNAM | 50c | 228$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pumas de la UNAM | 63c | 207.7$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Pumas de la UNAM | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Pumas de la UNAM | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x518b…cf8abacked Pumas de la UNAM | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Mazatlán FC | 36c | 171.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeccc…a6a8backed Pumas de la UNAM | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Mazatlán FC | 31c | 150.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Mazatlán FC | 31c | 150.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mazatlán FC | 44c | 138$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.27 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Mazatlán FC | 31c | 126.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Mazatlán FC | 32c | 120.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Mazatlán FC | 44c | 109.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mazatlán FC | 20c | 96.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Mazatlán FC | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Pumas de la UNAM | 62c | 72.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Mazatlán FC | 45c | 50.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Pumas de la UNAM | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Mazatlán FC | 43c | 33.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Mazatlán FC | 41c | 30.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Pumas de la UNAM | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Pumas de la UNAM | 62c | 24.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Pumas de la UNAM | 62c | 24.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 62c | 24.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pumas de la UNAM | 62c | 24.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Pumas de la UNAM | 62c | 24.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Mazatlán FC | 46c | 22.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Mazatlán FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.