South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1154b2e681b7e878832db5b546d468eb6e801a18f23ec363a47ee11e152b6c54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x783c…146abacked Under | 73c | 1,702$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 1,367$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.8 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 73c | 1,361$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 43c | 1,133$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.46 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 32c | 799.46$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 31c | 709.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.68 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 43c | 604.42$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.42 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 52c | 560$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 478.31$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.13 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 42c | 465.64$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.4 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 65c | 425.39$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 372.44$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.74 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 64c | 336.25$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 62c | 298.4$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.14 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 62c | 240.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 239.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Under | 33c | 203$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +114%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 49c | 183.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…8bf4backed Under | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 62c | 164.9$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 65c | 154.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 65c | 142.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 59c | 140.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 42c | 118.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 63c | 109.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Under | 33c | 108.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 40c | 89.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 68c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Under | 70c | 75.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 70c | 75.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 32c | 56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 54.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8708…b228backed Over | 22c | 53.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 58c | 51.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked Over | 53c | 46.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 59c | 46.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 59c | 46.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 59c | 46.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…5d25backed Over | 63c | 39.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Under | 35c | 38.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -14.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1d…7132backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 61c | 24.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 64c | 23.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 23.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 62c | 22.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Over | 64c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcb…3ba4backed Under | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 75c | 13.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Mazatlán FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.