South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23a3188a4b7983f637bd129233bda8374965b535de5ef00133dff76e2646b64b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 1,577$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.68 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 33c | 1,434$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.61 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 34c | 999.73$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.91 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 68c | 962.1$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.21 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 803.51$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 70c | 263.43$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 70c | 248.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 67c | 206.79$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.46 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 174.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 57c | 169$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 43c | 169$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 70c | 159.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.55 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 71c | 154.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 67c | 94.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 66c | 91.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 66c | 83.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 66c | 81.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 32c | 76.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 32c | 75.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 32c | 75.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 66c | 75.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 66c | 75.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 67c | 74.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 66c | 69.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 67c | 68.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 77c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 66c | 51.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 67c | 48.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…7558backed Under | 36c | 46.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 66c | 42.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Over | 67c | 37.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 33.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 66c | 33.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 66c | 25.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 68c | 19.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Over | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 69c | 17.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Mazatlán FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.