South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5806089aa005f1031a3bbae5bd061f4a229c733a4f734364f24fa6a3638a136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mazatlán FCof Pumas de la UNAM, Mazatlán FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mazatlán FC | 53c | 776.3$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Pumas de la UNAM | 42c | 733.45$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.49 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Pumas de la UNAM | 33c | 606.19$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pumas de la UNAM | 48c | 384.55$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Mazatlán FC | 52c | 212.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.86 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Mazatlán FC | 53c | 208.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Mazatlán FC | 53c | 151.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mazatlán FC | 65c | 129.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Pumas de la UNAM | 50c | 108$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Mazatlán FC | 56c | 74.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 35c | 68.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Pumas de la UNAM | 35c | 68.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Mazatlán FC | 54c | 67.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Mazatlán FC | 54c | 67.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Mazatlán FC | 66c | 57.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 31c | 53.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Pumas de la UNAM | 34c | 52.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Mazatlán FC | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Mazatlán FC | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Pumas de la UNAM | 29c | 36.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Mazatlán FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.