MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8ca0f4bebe7e5e3b5b42ddd489559b9efa152b1933da0f1f7b9990e110e7455
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 88,939$40,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,022.74 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 45,981$25,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,691.6 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 36,974$20,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,638.3 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago White Sox | 45c | 36,709$16,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,514.84 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 19,642$11,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,947.77 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 17,946$8,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,075.5 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 15,173$9,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,578.31 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27c…3e53backed Chicago White Sox | 16c | 12,357$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 11,974$8,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.73 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 8,781$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,581.13 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 6,127$2,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,735.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 5,945$4,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 2,951$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.59 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.15 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 2,315$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.01 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 2,246$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.04 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 2,225$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.16 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 2,028$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.86 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Chicago White Sox | 8c | 2,009$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 1,977$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.76 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Baltimore Orioles | 70c | 1,889$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.75 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,867$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.31 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,865$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago White Sox | 28c | 1,780$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.92 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.3 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,405$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.11 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,024$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.15 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,023$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.95 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,014$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.93 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,014$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.93 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Chicago White Sox | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…10c6backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 993.68$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 957.98$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.87 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 951.23$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles | 68c | 907.36$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 875.7$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.06 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 865$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.25 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 822.32$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 757.97$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.09 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 750.52$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.69 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago White Sox | 18c | 715.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.94 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 644.66$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 615.83$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.07 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 613.19$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.52 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox | 29c | 574.79$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Chicago White Sox | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 537.22$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.75 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 530.73$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.83 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 523.85$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.68 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 511.91$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.49 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Chicago White Sox | 19c | 486.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5d…adc4backed Chicago White Sox | 45c | 452.3$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.53 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 444.05$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 440.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.77 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Chicago White Sox | 25c | 439.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 73c | 433.94$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 408.31$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Chicago White Sox | 39c | 407.43$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 404.88$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.15 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 391.61$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 376.02$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 351.42$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.62 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 351.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.95 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Chicago White Sox | 28c | 347.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 347.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.92 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Chicago White Sox | 25c | 336.06$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 322.84$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 315.45$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox | 43c | 289.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.63 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 270.12$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Chicago White Sox | 9c | 262.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 261.39$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 255.55$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 252.03$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 250$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 851 | 35.8%305 W · 546 L | -23.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 246.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…1299backed Chicago White Sox | 46c | 231.73$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 229.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 227.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 224.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 223.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.25 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Chicago White Sox | 43c | 222.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 221.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 216.41$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Chicago White Sox | 44c | 208.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Chicago White Sox | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Chicago White Sox | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Chicago White Sox | 49c | 196.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 2.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.