MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc4ed2855eeb9907288ef5299b3e619c2e7c37d51b5664cf788a69aba90b7138
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 54c | 179,448$96,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,687.97 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 84,131$38,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,700.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 46c | 47,243$21,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,732 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 35,800$16,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,558.38 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 53c | 17,825$9,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,296.81 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Over | 47c | 3,543$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.3 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 2,860$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.84 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over | 48c | 2,768$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.42 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 46c | 2,504$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.74 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 47c | 1,604$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.97 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Over | 47c | 1,452$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 46c | 1,249$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.54 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 36c | 994.75$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.94 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 977.64$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.49 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 49c | 791.35$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.76 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 773.9$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 46c | 584.06$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.67 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 466.43$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.57 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 443.03$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 54c | 435.9$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.53 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 46c | 424.78$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 407.21$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 343.91$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.2 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 49c | 323.31$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.02 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Over | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 48c | 290.64$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 248.14$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 244.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 52c | 240.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.56 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 49c | 213.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe226…95a5backed Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 47c | 210.34$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 162$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.63 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Over | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 47c | 154.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 55c | 147.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.65 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 133.46$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 53c | 130.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 28c | 129.46$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed Over | 50c | 120.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 42c | 115.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Under | 54c | 98.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 46c | 87.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 47c | 83.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 52c | 82.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 56c | 71.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 47c | 65.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…f59cbacked Over | 50c | 60.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 55c | 56.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 46c | 55.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 46c | 55.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Over | 46c | 55.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 46c | 54.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Under | 55c | 53.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Under | 55c | 52.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 46c | 51.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 53c | 51.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 46c | 49.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 50c | 48.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 46c | 47.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 47c | 47.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 47c | 45.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 46c | 45.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Under | 54c | 43.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a14…cab1backed Over | 37c | 43.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 26c | 42.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Over | 46c | 42.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8957…2a87backed Over | 47c | 39.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 51c | 39.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 51c | 39.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…22d9backed Over | 46c | 37.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Under | 54c | 37.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 57c | 36.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…405abacked Over | 47c | 36.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Under | 53c | 36.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 44c | 36.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 41c | 35.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Over | 46c | 33.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed Under | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 51c | 32.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Under | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over | 50c | 30.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Under | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Over | 50c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Over | 46c | 22.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 54c | 20.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.