TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under54c179,448$96,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,687.976943.5%30 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over46c84,131$38,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,700.1710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over46c47,243$21,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,7321,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c35,800$16,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,558.381,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under53c17,825$9,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,296.8155053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over46c5,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…672abacked Over47c3,543$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.33935.9%14 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c2,860$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.842,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Over48c2,768$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.428247.6%39 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over46c2,504$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.7436649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,604$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.9767849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Over47c1,500$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7057852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Over47c1,452$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c1,249$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.541,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over36c994.75$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.949021.1%19 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over47c977.64$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.491,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Over49c791.35$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7638353.8%206 W · 177 L+16.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c773.9$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.865,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28e8…6080backed Over46c584.06$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.6747350.7%240 W · 233 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over47c466.43$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.571,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c443.03$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over54c435.9$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.535,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c424.78$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.441,05347.3%498 W · 555 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over46c407.21$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.329,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c343.91$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.21,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over49c323.31$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.021,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Over48c302.75$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.322941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15019248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Over48c290.64$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.511963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over46c248.14$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3721847.7%104 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c244.72$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.196,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Under52c240.85$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5612257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Over49c213.73$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7319951.8%103 W · 96 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.761163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+39.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.765451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over47c210.34$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.622,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962532%8 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6514953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6124950.6%126 W · 123 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under54c162$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6325249.6%125 W · 127 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Over49c158.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5566551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over49c158.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5512845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over47c154.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.628652.3%45 W · 41 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+29.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under55c147.31$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6511245.5%51 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under54c133.46$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0619452.6%102 W · 92 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under53c130.17$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1814444.4%64 W · 80 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over28c129.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6766749.3%329 W · 338 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1880…a421backed Over50c120.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.143452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over42c115.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.891,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4754146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Under54c98.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.46753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0918048.3%87 W · 93 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Over46c87.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.468248.8%40 W · 42 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over47c83.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3226151%133 W · 128 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under52c82.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.822259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over56c71.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8413742.3%58 W · 79 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over47c65.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.816947.3%80 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb389…f59cbacked Over50c60.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under55c56.32$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0778146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over46c55.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.891,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over46c55.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8934452.6%181 W · 163 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over46c55.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8915753.5%84 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over46c54.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.265848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…5d91backed Under55c53.52$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0822650.4%114 W · 112 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b2…2e80backed Under55c52.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.059151.6%47 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over46c51.72$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.799254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under53c51.44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1814442.4%61 W · 83 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over46c49.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8818649.5%92 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Under50c48.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1910649.1%52 W · 54 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over46c47.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9539351.9%204 W · 189 L+1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over47c47.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.137650%38 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over47c45.92$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7512761.4%78 W · 49 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over46c45.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8229354.9%161 W · 132 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Under54c43.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.173740.5%15 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a14…cab1backed Over37c43.65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.991526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015858.2%92 W · 66 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over26c42.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.152722.2%6 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+85.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over46c42.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.378847.7%42 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8957…2a87backed Over47c39.82$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c76…2632backed Under51c39.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.524554.7%134 W · 111 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under51c39.01$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1267453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bbd…98f2backed Over47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8618751.3%96 W · 91 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa5…22d9backed Over46c37.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.471266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Under54c37.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.443458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under53c36.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2470455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under57c36.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.721,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc55d…405abacked Over47c36.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24959.2%29 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Under53c36.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9210850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over44c36.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0313439.6%53 W · 81 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over41c35.06$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4710542.9%45 W · 60 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x75ac…be97backed Under52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Over46c33.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.423754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcf4…a399backed Under53c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Under51c32.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7214328.7%41 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad78…678cbacked Under76c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.683100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over50c30.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4211649.1%57 W · 59 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4de2…60acbacked Under54c29.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.422259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x442e…a738backed Over50c25.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.758153.1%43 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Over46c22.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.413363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Under54c20.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.363857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.