TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sarasota: Daniel Galan vs Garrett Johns

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Garrett Johnsof Daniel Galan, Garrett Johns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,075
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$203,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,075 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c45…0ac6backed Daniel Galan34c66,133$22,734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,734.0511935.3%42 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Garrett Johns69c29,310$20,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,215.267,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Garrett Johns64c23,892$15,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,488.438,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Garrett Johns65c18,833$12,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,561.7311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Daniel Galan32c6,725$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.5762140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Garrett Johns68c5,334$3,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.211,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Daniel Galan36c4,007$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.420155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Garrett Johns74c3,444$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.851,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Galan32c3,400$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.16,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Garrett Johns66c3,224$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.634,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Daniel Galan41c2,867$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16617348%83 W · 90 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Daniel Galan37c2,426$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.72,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Daniel Galan37c2,300$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.443,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2422…d02cbacked Garrett Johns62c1,999$1,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.244445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Garrett Johns55c1,941$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.1335247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Daniel Galan37c1,310$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.021,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Garrett Johns72c1,208$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.632,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Garrett Johns78c1,074$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24161752.5%324 W · 293 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Garrett Johns63c1,022$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.232,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Daniel Galan73c964.32$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.2697745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Daniel Galan35c910.32$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.914,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Garrett Johns27c885.37$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.321,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b55…1ab9backed Garrett Johns52c885.08$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.847335.6%26 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Garrett Johns68c840.29$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.0450156.1%281 W · 220 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Garrett Johns68c840.09$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8665952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Garrett Johns68c838.04$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.739054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Daniel Galan21c810.23$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.661030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Garrett Johns74c800.2$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.3141658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Daniel Galan43c790.64$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.221,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Galan35c738.98$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.076,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Garrett Johns69c616.52$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.9719153.4%102 W · 89 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Garrett Johns73c587.51$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.937153.9%200 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a9…be54backed Daniel Galan49c490.63$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.41850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+38.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf77…bae9backed Garrett Johns64c458.63$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1119443.3%84 W · 110 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked Garrett Johns62c420.2$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6752557%299 W · 226 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Garrett Johns26c407.67$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.728141.6%117 W · 164 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Daniel Galan26c404.92$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1851933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb882…fcabbacked Garrett Johns63c403.85$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.427349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Daniel Galan74c398.68$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.022,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Garrett Johns79c376.04$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8635164.1%225 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Garrett Johns80c365.26$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.711753%62 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Daniel Galan45c363.16$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4262534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Garrett Johns68c360.53$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3432050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Daniel Galan8c307$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.631,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Daniel Galan15c303.8$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5721451.4%110 W · 104 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Daniel Galan13c300.07$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3828724.4%70 W · 217 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Daniel Galan50c299.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.59650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Garrett Johns26c295.23$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9929230.5%89 W · 203 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Daniel Galan73c284.17$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.4513450%67 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Daniel Galan73c269.53$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7610454.8%57 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Garrett Johns27c267.19$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.051,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Daniel Galan37c260$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.372542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Daniel Galan73c218.78$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.717,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Garrett Johns70c203.03$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.269,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3636…ab7cbacked Garrett Johns68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Daniel Galan32c199.51$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3617656.3%99 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Garrett Johns68c198.45$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.54870.8%34 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x96bc…d2b5backed Daniel Galan55c195.22$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0341668%283 W · 133 L+23.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Daniel Galan51c189.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.543855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Daniel Galan54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2441544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd82…4068backed Garrett Johns65c175.23$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.442951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Garrett Johns56c175$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7710254.9%56 W · 46 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Daniel Galan28c172.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.111,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Daniel Galan74c171.79$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.122,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Garrett Johns66c171.36$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.034,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Daniel Galan31c170.93$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6423758.6%139 W · 98 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Garrett Johns57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4950364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Daniel Galan39c170.4$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.286,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e1…f17fbacked Daniel Galan44c169.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4124463.5%155 W · 89 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84bd…34d0backed Garrett Johns29c165.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.210829.6%32 W · 76 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Daniel Galan34c156.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.571,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Garrett Johns68c154.07$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.014,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Garrett Johns66c152.82$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9629958.5%175 W · 124 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e1…45f0backed Garrett Johns70c150.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.851650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Garrett Johns50c148.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.535436.4%129 W · 225 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Garrett Johns66c148.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9537071.9%266 W · 104 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Garrett Johns69c148.86$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8770148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Daniel Galan32c148.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9633557%191 W · 144 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe031…5c08backed Garrett Johns74c148.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6673549.8%366 W · 369 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2977…6efcbacked Garrett Johns53c146.02$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.263938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Daniel Galan68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.081,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Garrett Johns68c144.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9686470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Garrett Johns66c142.04$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2915748.4%76 W · 81 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Daniel Galan34c138.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.729851%152 W · 146 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Daniel Galan73c135.76$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1133055.8%184 W · 146 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Garrett Johns76c133.57$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.061,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Garrett Johns69c131.76$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.351,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…67bebacked Garrett Johns66c128.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.534358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Daniel Galan40c123.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.361,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Garrett Johns72c123$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.442268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Daniel Galan32c122.9$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3337351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Garrett Johns69c121.14$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6423057%131 W · 99 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…f01ebacked Garrett Johns72c119.96$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.657953.7%311 W · 268 L+19.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Garrett Johns66c118.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.350259%296 W · 206 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Daniel Galan41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Daniel Galan34c110.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1336944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Daniel Galan38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Garrett Johns53c99.15$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.646040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Daniel Galan34c89.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6134847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Garrett Johns69c89.34$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0825661.3%157 W · 99 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.