TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$338,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$328,832

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked No48c229,597$109,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,866.464238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes52c62,143$32,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,314.4742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes52c43,569$22,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,655.841,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes48c25,161$12,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,105.788,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes49c19,259$9,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,434.7814443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes42c12,504$5,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,194.235,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Yes48c7,667$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,683.671770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e12…0ae4backed Yes2c7,207$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.75714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-63.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes50c6,683$3,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.2233560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes51c6,575$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.7665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Yes52c5,267$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.77825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes52c4,655$2,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.657157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes52c4,625$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.1647756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes52c4,624$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.6241256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes20c4,567$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.033333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Yes54c3,601$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes52c2,736$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.0820059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes20c2,450$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.7530841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes49c2,417$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.491,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes52c2,309$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,201.3812361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes42c2,200$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.361,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.982766.7%18 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c1,845$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.0251749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No64c1,494$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.7528651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked No65c1,450$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.373046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee47…1c4cbacked Yes46c1,416$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.67825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes52c1,346$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.7828158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No61c1,278$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.239452.1%49 W · 45 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+29.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes55c1,105$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.962,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes53c1,034$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.531,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed No49c1,010$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.0911963.9%76 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes52c999.94$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.975164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad93…6bd3backed Yes24c996.82$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.391650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a0f…2363backed Yes53c971.8$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aec…7d3cbacked Yes58c941.19$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes52c927.57$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.6916759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes52c919.9$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.497955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes52c913.83$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9936757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes53c904.61$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.351,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5001…e597backed Yes51c879.46$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes52c878.91$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.2626160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked No60c823.24$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.4310657.5%61 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No45c810.07$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.543844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No59c731.69$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.178268.3%56 W · 26 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No46c726.87$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.242941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No69c711.49$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3484943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Yes51c693.01$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.436055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No46c692.48$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.943151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes57c683.65$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.687852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No44c633.47$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.751010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes55c621.49$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.121,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No47c599.85$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9233745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes52c590.19$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.95050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes57c564.01$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.492441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4eb4…71c3backed Yes58c507.22$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes56c466.44$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.9412354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed No45c460.43$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.855058%29 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked No45c449.12$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0113257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Yes49c445.76$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.814362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes52c413.19$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.9519056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No48c409.99$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.29831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes53c403.39$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.810750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Yes55c390.42$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.54250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…271fbacked Yes41c385.65$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.641520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-63.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5734…698bbacked Yes52c384.18$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.78837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes53c382.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.531,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes52c377.8$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4517143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes53c370.43$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.562,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes26c362.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes32c351.37$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.444738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes53c348.38$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6417049.4%84 W · 86 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes56c348.24$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0112541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a94…a3bebacked Yes57c341.82$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes48c331.72$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.517857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No43c331.4$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1a…b6f3backed Yes32c319.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.36520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No47c318.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.0313545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c308.78$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.251,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Yes55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes53c291.6$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.527656.6%43 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Yes52c266.98$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8312464.5%80 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes52c261.48$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.971050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes57c256.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1311849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes57c256.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.131136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes52c251.43$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7410564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes52c250.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.198350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes16c242.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.699741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb61e…a10bbacked No66c237.79$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.262871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes52c231.59$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes38c204.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7716262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No49c204$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.045728.1%16 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Yes52c200.33$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.177867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302321.7%5 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Yes52c193.49$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.622979.3%23 W · 6 L+6.7wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+40.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Yes51c192.23$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.381968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Yes25c192.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.755226.9%14 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ddd…98c3backed Yes51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked No63c187.75$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe06f…6743backed Yes53c186.05$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.67728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-51.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.