South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x529ed596a418d36b36e84bf02f33553849e7052fb2d15ac022413be080d69be3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 43c | 4,444$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.86 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 1,804$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 21c | 1,600$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.99 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 49c | 1,281$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.82 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 1,142$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61e…a10bbacked No | 53c | 327.2$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 51c | 313.08$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee47…1c4cbacked Yes | 30c | 306.37$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 61c | 285.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 61c | 285.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 61c | 285.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.68 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 270.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 61c | 244.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 57c | 237.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 57c | 237.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 57c | 237.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.05 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 58c | 233.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 58c | 233.5$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 228.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 58c | 226.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…6258backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 75c | 195.68$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 57c | 177.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…b10fbacked Yes | 57c | 130.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 99.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…6bd3backed Yes | 33c | 95.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 26c | 87.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Yes | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 26c | 84.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 58c | 84.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed No | 74c | 73.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Yes | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 59.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 59c | 58.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 63c | 56.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 58c | 56.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa426…540dbacked Yes | 59c | 52.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Yes | 57c | 49.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 80c | 48.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 80c | 48.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 42.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…a580backed No | 48c | 38.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed No | 71c | 34.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 31.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 62c | 31.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 57c | 24.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 44c | 22.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…c1a8backed No | 73c | 19.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Yes | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 62c | 16.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 72c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CDP Junior FC vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?this page
- Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-04-08?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.