MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85b1da570e8a31781951d4c62088d07cac141280a23a21e2a134305ee46ca9a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,329
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,329 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 10,859$4,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,898.12 | 216 | 56.5%122 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 9,713$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.88 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 8,656$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.52 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 7,541$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.92 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 5,501$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915.4 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…d750backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 4,694$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 4,526$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.06 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 4,338$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.08 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 63c | 4,052$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 4,027$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.26 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 58c | 3,381$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…8723backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 3,332$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.38 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 3,066$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.22 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 2,946$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.41 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 2,744$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.7 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,262$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.32 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 2,143$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.26 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 1,919$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 1,680$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.77 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,650$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.62 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 1,616$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,612$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 4c | 1,408$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 3cpaid | +339.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,394$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.57 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 1,386$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.63 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,276$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.43 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 1,082$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.06 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,071$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 1,046$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.67 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas City Royals | 62c | 1,002$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.59 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ed…ce26backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 50c | 943.25$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…089dbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 806.58$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.35 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 722.06$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 668.63$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.31 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 662.71$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.62 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 656.28$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.83 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Kansas City Royals | 67c | 616.66$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 604.33$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.94 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 501.61$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.72 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36a…25abbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 498.91$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 488.79$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.45 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 484.4$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 471.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 469$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.44 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 441.53$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 441.2$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 433.54$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 429.11$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 407.75$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 7c | 404.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 299 | 50.5%151 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 400.75$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 397.64$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Kansas City Royals | 77c | 394.01$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 392.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.54 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 392.84$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.33 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 380.92$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 374.13$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.28 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 368.87$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.61 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 366.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.26 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Kansas City Royals | 76c | 359.63$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Kansas City Royals | 77c | 356.78$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 342.19$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 329.14$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.41 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Kansas City Royals | 70c | 321.14$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.85 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 304.96$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.31 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 304.94$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 299.26$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.57 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 293.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 293.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 289.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 287.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.46 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 282.57$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 275.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 269.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.85 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 267.44$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Kansas City Royals | 77c | 257.01$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…0f35backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 250.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 56c | 245.12$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4b…52c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 230.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 230.96$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.41 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 212$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 211.93$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 211.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 157 | 40.1%63 W · 94 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 210.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 210.9$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…6a1bbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 209.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 363 | 45.7%166 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 204.83$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.48 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked Kansas City Royals | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 196.55$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 192.61$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 190.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.