TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over62c12,000$7,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,439.796468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c7,591$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,870.354,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under18c4,862$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,983.52,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under39c3,456$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.765339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under36c3,004$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.1682844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc0…f02abacked Over76c2,587$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.59450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under52c1,864$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$892.366858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c1,819$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.031,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46e6…ed5ebacked Over53c1,754$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under42c1,624$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.895166.7%34 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over59c1,062$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.222357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under16c1,028$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.8783640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over13c926.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2960732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under55c770.43$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.031,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Over39c769.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over67c747.45$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.362948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under20c688.46$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.1311736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over44c634.75$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.615738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under46c630.6$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.6860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over55c530.8$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.897440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Under49c499.97$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.9916745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Over64c492.21$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.022766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over41c440.14$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3817128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over17c343$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.315330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c327.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.83,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under39c326.24$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.131,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc2d…6f93backed Over51c289.44$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.622128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc559…9614backed Over66c268$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Over80c247$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.62657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over80c242.24$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6117466.1%115 W · 59 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over17c240.37$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4937039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over39c236.78$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0444324.2%107 W · 336 L-49.5wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under47c212.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5822758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over53c206.09$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.346349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f5…8335backed Over13c188.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.241866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over33c161.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1830842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under33c145.42$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.435054%27 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under43c144.61$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3317856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Over68c144.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.082564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3622…083dbacked Over34c141.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.023253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under50c133.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.939336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over67c132.87$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5649057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Under34c120.16$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.313644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…572dbacked Over57c117.83$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.163033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under39c116.1$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7119953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Over48c98.9$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over69c98.14$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7262744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.535330.2%16 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over54c90.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.623050%15 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Under30c88.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.693751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over24c79.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.84235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over64c76.44$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.923951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2273…7e01backed Under35c75.7$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.21250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Over67c73.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Over77c67.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.654035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over54c65.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.492564%16 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over80c65.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7310957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over80c65.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.737954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over80c65.92$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.736762.7%42 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c65$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.742158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over80c64.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5535759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over80c64.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5523456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Over80c64.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.533759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under18c63.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3392254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over46c63.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.033842.1%16 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under55c62.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.123164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under45c61.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3320360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3157…5903backed Under34c59.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+153.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over40c57.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2322658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4de2…60acbacked Under21c54.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+83%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3468…e71ebacked Under40c53.54$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc6…a1c4backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over60c48.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2838748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6cf…0425backed Over42c45.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-65.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over80c45.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.369660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over67c42.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4324757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over80c41.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1228357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over80c41.36$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0922455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over57c41.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.524276.2%32 W · 10 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over68c40.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.441978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over67c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.85358.5%31 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over30c39.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9915344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over67c39.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.033979.5%31 W · 8 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+28.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Over37c38.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.522050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.43342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under75c35.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0119260.9%117 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over60c34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…51dcbacked Under44c32.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+62%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over80c30.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.711566.1%76 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156450%32 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Under69c29.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2610361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over48c29.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2122553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over71c29.48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.933762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eee…dd8bbacked Over68c28.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.622560%15 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over80c28$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42065%13 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.