La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb904171951f05b0b95919a8f0b8578c9dae5da3d7b8b9c48bcab93eaaac14830
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 63c | 1,144$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.36 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 37c | 1,083$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.56 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 14c | 1,028$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.09 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Over | 36c | 999.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 36c | 941.27$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.86 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 37c | 780.16$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 778.93$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.59 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 37c | 653.1$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.65 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 526.02$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.61 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 349.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 35c | 259.62$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 249.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Over | 37c | 225.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 6c | 178.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 66c | 160.35$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Over | 36c | 148.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 75c | 147.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 69c | 137.4$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe006…25a1backed Under | 65c | 136.6$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 65c | 134.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 64c | 126.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 64c | 120.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 64c | 120.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…c99dbacked Under | 64c | 120.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 64c | 117.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 35c | 114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 65c | 111.61$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 64c | 111.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Under | 66c | 111.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 34c | 108.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Over | 37c | 105.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…9c87backed Over | 36c | 96.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…d76fbacked Over | 37c | 91.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Under | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 64c | 73.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 63c | 64.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 64c | 61.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…30debacked Over | 18c | 55.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…c159backed Over | 37c | 52.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…604ebacked Under | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…4ae5backed Under | 64c | 38.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…68ecbacked Under | 66c | 37.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2b…5271backed Under | 69c | 32.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda65…0f34backed Under | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 64c | 30.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 65c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Under | 65c | 29.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96f…f533backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 64c | 24.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…c36ebacked Under | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 65c | 22.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 76c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 76c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 76c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 76c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 76c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 76c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 76c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 76c | 22.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 76c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…f180backed Under | 66c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 66c | 18.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Under | 65c | 17.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +83%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…7e9bbacked Under | 79c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 65c | 15.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…9551backed Under | 78c | 13.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.