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La Liga · resolved market

CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,792
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,792 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over34c8,460$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,875.413831.6%12 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c8,436$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,237.474,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c6,490$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,569.943,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under65c3,079$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.8790543.4%393 W · 512 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over55c1,810$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c1,764$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.011,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over58c1,729$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.711060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Over67c1,662$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.751060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.2820360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over44c1,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017731.1%55 W · 122 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over36c1,036$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.523043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over65c999.99$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65016149.7%80 W · 81 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over25c999.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9923455.6%130 W · 104 L+18.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under40c988$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.37149.3%35 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over37c769.91$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.497440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Over54c768.52$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4158252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Under21c700$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5535062%31 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.669564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over59c508.79$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.853145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under57c433.62$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.972,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over35c424.43$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.53655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over48c410.42$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19737829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe35b…d8d0backed Over75c400.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.193748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004463.6%28 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c397.11$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.271,61238.4%619 W · 993 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under66c394.59$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.161573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under45c389.39$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.399336.6%34 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c357.54$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.451,66943.8%731 W · 938 L-22.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under74c329.71$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9922455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c310.15$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.231,08750.6%550 W · 537 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over52c305.87$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1595536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over43c302.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13019344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over57c286.77$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.043154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under65c281.81$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5217659.7%105 W · 71 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c277.09$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8846024.1%111 W · 349 L-52.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-48%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3eef…4a0ebacked Over60c271.7$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under53c237.2$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2789350.1%447 W · 446 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Over55c222.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.583470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Over58c207.17$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.643164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3482…fa0ebacked Over51c200$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c199.95$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.341,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over57c194.79$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.525671.4%40 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over56c179.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7918656.5%105 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc74b…9089backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+54.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under53c160.59$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.261,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under51c156.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.841147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb253…26febacked Under49c147.55$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over70c144.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.785330.2%16 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over50c144$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Under70c142.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0610957.8%63 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under72c138.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4317856.7%101 W · 77 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under51c131.98$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6511266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef8a…7035backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick76cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under79c118.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5922758.1%132 W · 95 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under57c113$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5928045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over59c108.19$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.835967.8%40 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3862744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over43c99.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.993565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa296…743dbacked Over43c97.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422045%9 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid+31.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over41c95.12$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398439.3%33 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under56c90.61$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8410230.4%31 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Under79c89.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.581968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under73c87.77$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2833161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8088…24dabacked Under58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.216349.2%31 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…b894backed Over48c83.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406963.8%44 W · 25 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over62c80.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under57c80$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.671,63551.6%844 W · 791 L-7.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Under65c72.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over50c70.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.354254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd69f…1cacbacked Over55c69.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.272157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.773050%15 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511046.4%51 W · 59 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad51…d76dbacked Under56c67.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…1d41backed Over57c62.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.681250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over33c61.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.189246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bca…24aebacked Over49c56.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc52f…d64abacked Over48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over75c52$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3922950.2%115 W · 114 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.511066.4%73 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over43c49.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3618747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c30…d9e5backed Over55c46.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.422564%16 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over55c44.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.056373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Over43c43.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.852646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a22…2929backed Under42c42.31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02fd…c162backed Over58c41.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.921478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over53c40.08$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.366950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x890d…e87ebacked Under40c39.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over64c38.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4810761.7%66 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0157…340fbacked Over55c36.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-52.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.093265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d03…b8a6backed Under66c33.33$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under78c32.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2511566.1%76 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under78c32.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.257955.7%44 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.