La Liga · resolved market
CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb06d28cec40d495144852ffd6b9150647e09e4c5a37932d5cab6423402538a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 4,658$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.84 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 27c | 1,790$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.3 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 19c | 1,250$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 22c | 1,006$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 46c | 430.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 8c | 411.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 45c | 404$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 39c | 358$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Under | 63c | 344.56$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 338.53$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 45c | 299.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 39c | 258.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…c162backed Under | 62c | 197.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 62c | 192.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 135.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Over | 34c | 130.07$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Under | 79c | 126.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Under | 79c | 126$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…083dbacked Over | 21c | 123.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 18c | 122.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 63c | 122.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 61c | 119.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +17%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 22c | 112.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 27c | 110$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 73c | 87.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Under | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked Under | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 21c | 75.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 21c | 75.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 70.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…dd59backed Over | 39c | 63.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 45c | 59.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 75c | 57.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 75c | 41.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 39c | 29.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…53f1backed Under | 76c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 78c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…2befbacked Under | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 72c | 24.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 69 | 82.6%57 W · 12 L | +15.0wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +37%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f4…b0f9backed Under | 62c | 22.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…9111backed Under | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 75c | 14.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 3.5this page
- CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Leganés vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)Real Zaragoza won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)Real Zaragoza won
- Spread: Real Zaragoza (-2.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.