Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65044367e83e7b5db4dc0f31f2adb84e5dec0a324e56ced2df37dd0e2ace556e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 3,777$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.37 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 30c | 2,325$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.82 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…7328backed Over | 75c | 1,986$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…1fa0backed Over | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 1,608$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.06 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 20c | 1,498$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.14 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 786.66$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…1bcbbacked Over | 67c | 724.79$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 454.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Under | 4c | 399.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 73c | 318.3$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 33c | 271$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Over | 80c | 218.66$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 208.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 78c | 162.5$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 73c | 161.39$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 10c | 144.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 141.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 223 | 40.8%91 W · 132 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 79c | 72.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 34.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe083…d0d5backed Over | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…1cacbacked Over | 52c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Over | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…2b69backed Over | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed Under | 50c | 23.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 73c | 20.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 60c | 19.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 80c | 19.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…c4b9backed Over | 65c | 16.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5this page
- OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.