Ligue 1 · resolved market
OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660148f6284a449284195e05561abe838617b5aa5b56db65c4f8af36f3279679
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 59c | 846.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.61 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 509.94$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.65 | 1,939 | 45.3%878 W · 1,061 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 45c | 294.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.63 | 277 | 48.4%134 W · 143 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 209.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 1,441 | 41%591 W · 850 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 54c | 197.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed No | 48c | 185.69$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed No | 42c | 184.77$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 44c | 179.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 95.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 886 | 44.4%393 W · 493 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 88.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 595 | 48.4%288 W · 307 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 66c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 69.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 53c | 58.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 47c | 57.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed No | 38c | 55.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 475 | 50.1%238 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 33c | 47.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 51c | 46.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…f926backed Yes | 44c | 34.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 45c | 28.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 66c | 27.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…e77bbacked No | 47c | 24.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 56c | 21.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 1.5Over won
- OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 3.5Under won
- OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Le Havre AC (-1.5)OGC Nice won
- Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.