TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,101
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,101 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c16,475$8,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,098.124349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c12,245$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.996952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over45c4,445$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.163663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under57c2,340$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.9962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over50c2,202$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under57c2,082$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.5871140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over49c1,608$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.015947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c1,490$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.6533145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under66c1,238$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.0748649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,219$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.8830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over45c1,091$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.824544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Over37c1,040$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+71.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under49c978.88$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.234161%25 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over26c975.84$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.991,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over44c874.4$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.5226346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over49c819$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.318143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf003…08cdbacked Over51c761.25$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over56c694.64$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.461353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over49c514.95$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.3210942.2%46 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over48c499.95$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.983745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under40c469.59$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.983234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8be2…494abacked Under76c454.14$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c410.43$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.171,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over48c404.87$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.74933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1943154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under79c370.1$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.72366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under55c324.82$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3612963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over43c321.83$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.711127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over57c321.03$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.53650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over41c308.64$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.041752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c296.13$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.599558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Over31c278.83$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.442240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over44c269.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.124051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under42c250.13$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9515649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under56c244.73$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7212556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923c…6d03backed Under40c241$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.63828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under55c224.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.358058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under55c214.13$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.345463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcd1e…f62bbacked Under58c210.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.246100%6 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over23c207.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.692138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under54c204.6$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7112367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under56c173.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.222378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+37%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under53c168.69$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.281973.7%14 W · 5 L+5.2wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+47.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under54c163.24$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.719960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Over60c162.67$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over36c160.27$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.71428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over50c159.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c150$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1218847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over31c128.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.242948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Over38c127.25$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over51c123.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.123650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under56c121.05$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1310364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.813144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under56c117.93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.893568.6%24 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over62c114.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.623275%24 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Under55c113.26$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under55c107.07$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.253070%21 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Under55c101.95$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.951963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over48c101.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.431020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-57.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6714544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374017.5%7 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-49.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c96.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5222340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over60c88.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.98757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…b729backed Over51c83.74$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under52c83.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.094459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under53c82$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.548056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c79.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over38c76.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.881855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under53c73.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.699058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c69.34$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under55c69.03$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.061764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.25662.5%35 W · 21 L+8.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+42.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over23c58.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.35238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over48c55.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.513259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over46c54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.842524%6 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over48c48.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.082240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.414450%22 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over45c42.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.348729.9%26 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over40c40.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0422854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72e1…bd8ebacked Under65c38.93$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcd…1a94backed Over50c38.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.43351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over58c38.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.08633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…ba40backed Under58c33.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+105.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f0…5d25backed Over51c32.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under54c30.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.877149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under50c29.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.552835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over40c29.06$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.533951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under51c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.993865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154060%24 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c24.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1923342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Under53c24.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.322065%13 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over54c23.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5845233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under51c22.84$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over49c22.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.872142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under51c20.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.05988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick61cpaid+53.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Under64c19.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.113100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under64c19.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.117861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.