TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Moldova vs. Lithuania: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,434 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x59e8…c5e8backed Over66c14,055$9,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,786.88875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under44c8,315$3,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,645.3229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf370…4f88backed Under34c7,353$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a4…5780backed Over52c5,697$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,734.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c2,027$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.44,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff2…01b9backed Under34c1,877$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54017544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under34c939.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.651,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a4…7170backed Under48c902.7$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.11450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over65c672.07$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.072744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under32c621.66$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1346536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30015141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over57c533.38$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.531442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over64c465.37$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.378274.4%61 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Over51c393$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.263351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under24c374.48$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.062,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over60c358.6$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.229829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c345.62$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.554,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under37c315.43$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2623749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under34c315.31$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.213,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x08f0…2000backed Over66c300$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1012045%9 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10221444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Under34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under35c253.23$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.631,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under35c249.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.52,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under38c238.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4924653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under38c238.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.4950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under38c233.73$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5786455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over66c227.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8512254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under47c213.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over47c199.98$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.992347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over67c168.32$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.18955.1%49 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over60c164.81$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6415763.7%100 W · 57 L+16.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x109b…cc8cbacked Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over66c147.46$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.466937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under34c147$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under52c135.65$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.545050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over70c124.36$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.311,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Under36c118.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.283844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Under34c118$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.123647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under34c113.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.861,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under33c112.62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.172454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3415945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed Under34c99.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.317143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c92.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.391,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Under34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.924641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Under34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.923151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Under34c88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.924946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under34c83.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3616758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over51c81.49$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9335658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba68…1fb5backed Over67c79.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over76c78.63$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.637954.4%43 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under49c73.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1134056.5%192 W · 148 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Over51c73.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1115859.5%94 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.925952.5%31 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5455153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over66c60.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1510868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under34c59.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.128133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over67c59.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6312554.4%68 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over69c57.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8663745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under34c56.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1236850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under34c54.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8114948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb409…10b2backed Over55c54.51$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.531145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over58c47.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over70c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.837458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Under33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74be…8aa3backed Under34c44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under54c42.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8225554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over53c41.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5130836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Under34c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Over56c35.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.697857.7%45 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over66c35.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9723363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over70c34.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x038a…2188backed Under37c32.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.07922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked Under32c32.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.262339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…4f06backed Over66c30.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.272560%15 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over70c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.453565.7%23 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over64c22.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2783153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90a3…1701backed Over67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.392958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ab…10c8backed Over72c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.161050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.846055%33 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7c…920ebacked Over70c21.14$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22b3…dcafbacked Over66c21.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.152245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd69f…1cacbacked Over59c20.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.361181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over51c19.84$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.722958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Over75c17.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.3515950.9%81 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.