Fifa International · resolved market
Moldova vs. Lithuania: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x953af53ac50d95793975c992a0d29f3d5b7a23be1de0cd38814533b541066421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,415 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 44c | 2,484$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.54 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,809$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.74 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 53c | 754.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.42 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 44c | 747.87$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 98 | 29.6%29 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 34c | 560.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 71c | 501.54$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.55 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 45c | 421.82$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.89 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 51c | 400$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 53c | 352.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.08 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 47c | 325.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.93 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 267.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 249.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 50c | 244.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 47c | 213.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…cc8cbacked Yes | 48c | 166.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked No | 53c | 153.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.94 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed No | 53c | 123.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 52c | 114.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Yes | 46c | 109.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 50c | 109.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed No | 72c | 68.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 48c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked No | 74c | 53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed No | 74c | 47.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 47c | 42.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed Yes | 47c | 42.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 27c | 41.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed No | 71c | 36.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 159 | 50.9%81 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 48c | 27.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 71c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 71c | 14.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.34 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…9cd9backed No | 72c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moldova vs. Lithuania: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Moldova vs. Lithuania: O/U 1.5Over won
- Moldova vs. Lithuania: O/U 2.5Under won
- Moldova vs. Lithuania: O/U 3.5Under won
- Moldova vs. Lithuania: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.