TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,363,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,496,806

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,363,496 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36a3…fafbbacked Yes52c1,018,114$533,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,076.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No47c188,679$88,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,999.871643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No48c119,753$57,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,074.263756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No48c100,000$48,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,999.992045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No47c85,111$40,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,109.063256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No47c68,761$32,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,167.562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…2bb7backed No47c61,714$29,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,474.141050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No47c60,000$28,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,799.9916644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No48c59,008$28,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,684.39850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No48c52,083$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,083.336952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e71…4402backed Yes0c34,807$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed No49c19,946$9,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,172.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No47c18,888$8,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,010.643246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+29.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No69c17,612$12,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,395.0371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c16,906$9,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,807.61,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No48c16,000$7,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,319.996347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No49c13,000$6,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6303148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No49c12,000$5,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,1201573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed No49c11,925$5,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,131633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No49c11,512$5,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,871.121844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa102…36d9backed No47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No50c9,749$4,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,830.654447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes17c9,567$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.215538.2%21 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No47c9,500$4,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0351838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c9,119$4,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,68252550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked No50c8,973$4,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,486.362040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed No50c8,650$4,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,286.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No48c8,275$3,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,303.092466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe3a8…06d9backed No47c7,562$3,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,007.86633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No48c7,310$3,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,769.721,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No49c7,115$3,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,628.652157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Yes50c6,602$3,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,301.1640%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No48c6,460$3,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes51c6,213$3,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,168.6824349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No48c6,125$2,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,173933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0604548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No47c5,848$2,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.381338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No48c4,985$2,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,611.931346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes50c4,262$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13123250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x536a…d21dbacked No49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No49c3,500$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7855151%26 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No47c3,191$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.491060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5305151%26 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No49c2,634$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.323354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No48c2,545$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.3228448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c2,532$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.124044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaef…b6abbacked No47c2,128$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.46475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick36cpaid+116%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No48c2,041$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.8630448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed No72c1,990$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No48c1,968$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.612458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No60c1,952$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.87741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No54c1,761$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.1233145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed No47c1,742$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.692744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed No49c1,646$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes22c1,601$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.2211916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No69c1,472$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.1742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No48c1,348$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.4112647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No79c1,245$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.966943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No70c1,216$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.5912556%70 W · 55 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes18c1,089$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.111725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No52c1,033$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5304751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51033148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51027748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104548.9%22 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5105251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5104854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No47c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5254365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.64544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No49c931.31$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.1335157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4594951%25 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No76c800.77$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8112963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4085251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No49c793$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.438143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No68c719.64$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.28058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No68c719.64$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.23070%21 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No49c714$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.149553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16af…b0c4backed No49c697.97$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes49c671.02$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.81963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No50c627.44$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.723461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3064447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3064753.2%25 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes50c599.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.871163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes49c534.48$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.99960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes18c534.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.143225%8 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2654544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed No48c437.76$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No71c437.29$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.739558.9%56 W · 39 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes49c436.33$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.85463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Yes52c429.6$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.42955.2%16 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No49c420$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.26654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No49c420$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.26357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No60c408.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.283745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20814654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.