TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$32,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under32c5,442$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7244,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Over65c3,820$2,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4852661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under22c3,102$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,413.511,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Over78c2,880$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.4211354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d46…98e9backed Over76c2,632$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.65650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.997823.1%18 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under22c1,880$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,467.4636850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under59c1,819$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.391,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over78c1,750$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.984266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over38c1,488$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.459124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over31c1,458$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.272347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under57c874.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1720262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under23c811.36$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.2921444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e1…8720backed Over78c804.87$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac61…be42backed Over53c715.04$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.95520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under22c555.24$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.063,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under28c517.38$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.154,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over79c506.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under25c415.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.3650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1881050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf277…9a5fbacked Over78c384.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under36c375.32$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.722,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over58c343.51$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19819047.9%91 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under23c328.09$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.633,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under24c287.04$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.886455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under26c276.81$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4410958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c202.64$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.6676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under64c200.28$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1915950.9%81 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over42c199.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9918465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over51c194.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c181.34$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8150450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under29c171.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2932356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f79…0307backed Over79c165.51$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.758755.2%48 W · 39 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under47c159.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.475050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under32c150.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.252,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over76c150$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11430463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Under39c148.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3923355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under23c145.85$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7314948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0c…0852backed Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006358.7%37 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c121.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.791,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Under22c113.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.617553.7%94 W · 81 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Over78c113$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6412454.8%68 W · 56 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over76c104.58$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over38c103.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6587651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over40c101$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.47532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7719958.3%116 W · 83 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811256.3%63 W · 49 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe96…4a6dbacked Over78c100$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782564%16 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick73cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd179…361ebacked Over43c93.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57b5…34abbacked Over76c91.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under25c83.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2623751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under23c82.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.946536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over75c81.33$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6130836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021048.1%101 W · 109 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over77c77.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.016973.9%51 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under22c69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8210558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under22c64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8743653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under21c62.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.733050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…56e8backed Over79c59.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47650%3 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed Under71c56.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.051650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c5…0d72backed Under30c54.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.051931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick24cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9317…5a5fbacked Over79c52.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.461637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under50c52.46$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.245451.9%28 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over77c51.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013167.9%89 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…9ab6backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5194…5768backed Over77c49.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0a…caf5backed Over42c42.86$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-79.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked Under47c42.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.242944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over76c40.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.611,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac7…a4a9backed Over76c39.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Over54c38.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5390…1649backed Over79c37.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over37c35.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.145733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Over57c35.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203636.1%13 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under53c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.326055%33 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015341.2%63 W · 90 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over79c31.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257558.7%44 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over76c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.882348.8%402 W · 421 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b1…fd38backed Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.93256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over77c27.14$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.91650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7805…ead7backed Over76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208263.4%52 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under47c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2537458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.27350.7%37 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211174.8%83 W · 28 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e1…6579backed Over78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe4…fa32backed Over74c19.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…fddbbacked Over76c19.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153959%23 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under54c18.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.624653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd69f…1cacbacked Over70c17.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.91181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+25%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over79c15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.853836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0782…b978backed Over78c14.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.681145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.