Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75f0af0f180ab930735861d185fbc17eab911ab0834b0968aa09d0eb13598d33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,598
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 3,117$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.78 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 57c | 1,691$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.63 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 43c | 1,211$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.28 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 1,190$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.14 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…aad0backed Yes | 64c | 732.98$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…bb2abacked Yes | 56c | 715.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 44c | 467.85$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.57 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 42c | 409.33$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.11 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…ff5dbacked Yes | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…aefcbacked Yes | 57c | 298.25$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 268.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.7 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 265.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 12c | 255.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.26 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 239.16$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.33 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 53c | 233.84$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 56c | 200.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 304 | 63.5%193 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…c9ffbacked Yes | 55c | 189.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 43c | 185.76$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.83 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…f93bbacked Yes | 56c | 181.74$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 57c | 175.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 56c | 133.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8687…1db0backed Yes | 52c | 120.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aea…eff2backed Yes | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 44c | 88.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…8668backed Yes | 58c | 86.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf633…03acbacked Yes | 58c | 78.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 49c | 69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 53c | 57.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a67…be3ebacked Yes | 56c | 54.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49af…219dbacked Yes | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…09debacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…469bbacked Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…aa11backed Yes | 55c | 36.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…7dcbbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x616e…a666backed Yes | 40c | 35.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed No | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775f…81a5backed Yes | 57c | 34.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Yes | 55c | 27.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Yes | 56c | 24.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 55c | 23.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…e0b2backed Yes | 51c | 21.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…64e3backed Yes | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 51c | 20.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.9wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8a59backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Mexico (-1.5)Portugal won
- Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Mexico won
- Spread: Portugal (-2.5)Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.