TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,635

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over49c14,550$7,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,187.951020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x59e8…c5e8backed Over54c14,471$7,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,814.33875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under51c10,472$5,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,180.595050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c8,368$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under47c4,681$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,485.25655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1602454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over53c2,895$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.332755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Under46c2,200$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.955635.7%20 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,185$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1791,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0807045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over39c1,788$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.199124.2%22 W · 69 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfda7…a4dcbacked Over54c1,561$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.421838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over53c1,312$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c1,226$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.251,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64842352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Under46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6482454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over52c1,044$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.933855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under46c1,019$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.0318850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over53c999.99$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.991656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…5a6ebacked Over17c692.07$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under47c632.19$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.8336850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under47c547.21$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.381,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over53c523.39$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.614630.4%14 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over55c506.12$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over53c500$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.371735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Over22c459.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005733.3%19 W · 38 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under51c450.25$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.7425554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under71c423.07$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0732356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over24c417.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011027.3%30 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21611646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under47c399.98$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.996051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under51c363.96$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3415448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under46c349.99$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9926454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over23c348.2$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80130%0 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under47c329.73$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.7621444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under61c327.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4210958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over41c322.01$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13219047.9%91 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaca…49e6backed Over52c321.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.027350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over51c301.05$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1548726.4%23 W · 64 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3d3…bb0abacked Over53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c9…1b1abacked Under54c280.96$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Over54c272.22$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1472552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under45c235.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.153,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under49c229.48$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.0411060%66 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c228.73$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.7676048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1921…44b8backed Under50c217$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1821…a670backed Over50c214.2$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Under47c212.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.593652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b0…f49abacked Over50c212.25$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e6…bd87backed Over50c211.53$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d15…b0e8backed Under50c211$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9822…4122backed Under50c211$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc751…8330backed Over50c210.5$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb617…db8abacked Under50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…c212backed Under50c209$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f3a…c3c8backed Over54c205.56$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x938e…ae86backed Over50c205.11$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d9…3a28backed Under50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d0…5e1bbacked Under50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd286…d979backed Over50c204.92$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5305…1757backed Over50c203.33$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb42f…e986backed Over50c202.02$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4813…2052backed Under50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ac…ecb2backed Over50c201.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa312…b10dbacked Over50c201.5$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ff…0ad9backed Over50c201.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under49c201.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6315459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10846453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3615…c274backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe981…1d7abacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084035%14 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10839749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45f4…843ebacked Over50c198.47$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8606…c451backed Under50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb242…3076backed Under50c197$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7f…0a4abacked Over50c196.75$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f6b…db02backed Under50c196$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over30c195.36$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.657532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf96b…adcbbacked Under50c192$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4670…6018backed Over50c191.89$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under49c189.29$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.792,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bab…8a3dbacked Over50c187.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe589…1229backed Under50c187$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5292…ca25backed Under50c186$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f2…a58cbacked Over50c183.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over53c183.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.173056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83fd…1a61backed Under50c182$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3f…c259backed Over50c181.67$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a97…031abacked Under50c181$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d9…2d84backed Over50c180.53$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over55c165.45$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3886455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.277247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under46c160$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.411748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under54c159.91$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.827143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over18c157.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.274528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.