TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lithuania vs. Georgia: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,872 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.981533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c9,390$5,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,419.144,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under47c3,898$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over28c3,791$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.862343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c3,101$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.081,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c2,942$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.5329343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde05…1ababacked Over70c2,889$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x40d5…79a5backed Over37c2,037$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.912540%10 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Over71c1,990$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.094623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8562…ad77backed Over40c1,852$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…d4bfbacked Over60c1,666$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.44266.7%28 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over73c1,628$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.7236850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under29c1,437$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.1410558.1%61 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Over55c1,288$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.0517629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under29c1,201$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7346536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7501952.6%10 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick34cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over46c995.55$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.552250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over67c896.32$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.328561.2%52 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1462…ef6bbacked Over74c675.85$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.851181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick73cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under28c667.12$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.642,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under72c627.58$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45150850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under66c615.09$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.1421953.4%117 W · 102 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under73c564.41$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.6986455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over37c540$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.215141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over65c533$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.322959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over38c526.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.688734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Under10c518.33$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8390%0 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under58c513.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over70c509.61$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.881,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30535036.3%127 W · 223 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…cf07backed Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c427.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.151,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2605…2b17backed Over73c411.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.223974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under27c409.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.672,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30031644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over61c386.24$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.245448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ba…3bccbacked Under17c358.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.031338.5%5 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick15cpaid+126.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Over79c340.08$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.083177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4b1…1f3fbacked Under58c319.58$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over34c310.69$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.696937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under29c299.99$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710550.5%53 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Over72c290$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.230463.5%193 W · 111 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…785ebacked Under10c288.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86120%0 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under64c282.2$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.617122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under60c278.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0823749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1615143%65 W · 86 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over57c263.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1123363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86a0…c66dbacked Under67c260.66$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over44c254.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5512848.4%62 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3910740.2%43 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b11…6f75backed Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.275777.2%44 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aba…1910backed Over71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2710667.9%72 W · 34 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6267354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over44c199.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1123441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under56c199.69$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3324653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under26c191.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.241,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over47c187.93$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9382340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over69c187.07$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0720067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked Over22c183.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.381464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+74.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over72c177$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.569467%63 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.550450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.293342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Under38c157.89$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over73c153.55$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4631747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under51c146.41$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3276048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over58c142.4$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Over29c141.17$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.231735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over60c141$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.213836.8%14 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-41.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over52c140.73$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.933066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under59c136.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3623751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under27c132.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.653,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a4…5e83backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.212638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Under76c127.49$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.957143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under28c115.01$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4816758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b90…cd54backed Over71c112.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.681181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick73cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over37c109.09$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.894,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over46c109$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.861070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.72755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+38.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e0b…2ddebacked Over71c108.21$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.381070%7 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Over47c105.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2616535.2%58 W · 107 L+15.3wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2715945.3%72 W · 87 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick62cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over31c99.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.987532%24 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Under63c97.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1635848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Under61c91.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7210958.7%64 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over57c91.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1525865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.961533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x816e…2663backed Over19c82.65$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.94633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cf1…aff3backed Over62c80.73$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.636329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed62…6f83backed Over26c77.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.19742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x550d…f1ffbacked Under64c76.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.22642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Under27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over73c72.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.666973.9%51 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.