Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Otto Virtanen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fa586eed4659111adca85d60ea0fa126899c2e9abdb399d5c7bf65c77dac64e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ethan Quinnof Ethan Quinn, Otto Virtanen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Otto Virtanen | 31c | 64,084$19,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,904.62 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ethan Quinn | 65c | 35,168$23,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,158.43 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Otto Virtanen | 37c | 18,097$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,607.92 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ethan Quinn | 70c | 11,334$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,434.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Ethan Quinn | 66c | 8,208$5,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.74 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ethan Quinn | 77c | 7,365$5,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.51 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Otto Virtanen | 21c | 6,657$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.34 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Otto Virtanen | 33c | 5,087$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.62 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Ethan Quinn | 76c | 5,040$3,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.3 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Ethan Quinn | 68c | 4,768$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.06 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Ethan Quinn | 69c | 3,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.88 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Otto Virtanen | 46c | 2,731$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.13 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Otto Virtanen | 34c | 2,678$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Otto Virtanen | 34c | 2,456$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.06 | 216 | 38%82 W · 134 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Ethan Quinn | 62c | 2,314$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.58 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Otto Virtanen | 32c | 1,790$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.8 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Otto Virtanen | 28c | 1,603$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.66 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Ethan Quinn | 58c | 1,373$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.86 | 801 | 53.1%425 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Ethan Quinn | 64c | 1,268$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.91 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Otto Virtanen | 31c | 1,113$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.63 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Ethan Quinn | 64c | 998.06$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.85 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Ethan Quinn | 72c | 819.4$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.48 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Otto Virtanen | 25c | 764$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Otto Virtanen | 28c | 755.42$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.98 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Otto Virtanen | 23c | 608.17$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.48 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Otto Virtanen | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Ethan Quinn | 50c | 595.95$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.97 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Otto Virtanen | 33c | 488.91$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.34 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Ethan Quinn | 67c | 486.46$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.23 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Otto Virtanen | 41c | 473.66$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.89 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Otto Virtanen | 34c | 449.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.49 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Ethan Quinn | 65c | 432.33$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Ethan Quinn | 68c | 428.55$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.14 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Ethan Quinn | 63c | 397.38$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac4…57bfbacked Ethan Quinn | 66c | 376.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…4e09backed Ethan Quinn | 67c | 374.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Otto Virtanen | 35c | 359.41$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 475 | 52.4%249 W · 226 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Otto Virtanen | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Otto Virtanen | 28c | 324.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Ethan Quinn | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Ethan Quinn | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Ethan Quinn | 67c | 293.69$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Ethan Quinn | 67c | 292.6$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…e64cbacked Otto Virtanen | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Ethan Quinn | 50c | 289.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.53 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Otto Virtanen | 34c | 277.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Ethan Quinn | 59c | 276.43$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.2 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…81bcbacked Otto Virtanen | 73c | 273.11$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Ethan Quinn | 58c | 267.79$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Otto Virtanen | 34c | 247.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Ethan Quinn | 58c | 234.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Otto Virtanen | 32c | 231.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Ethan Quinn | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Otto Virtanen | 11c | 201.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Otto Virtanen | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Ethan Quinn | 49c | 199.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Ethan Quinn | 64c | 195.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Otto Virtanen | 61c | 195.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.17 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Otto Virtanen | 54c | 194.46$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 257 | 56%144 W · 113 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Ethan Quinn | 47c | 194.37$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Otto Virtanen | 32c | 190.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Ethan Quinn | 73c | 188.87$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Ethan Quinn | 65c | 181.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Ethan Quinn | 67c | 176.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Ethan Quinn | 66c | 174.35$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…f891backed Ethan Quinn | 69c | 174.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 276 | 67%185 W · 91 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ethan Quinn | 54c | 171.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf491…5e7fbacked Otto Virtanen | 69c | 170.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c7c7backed Otto Virtanen | 46c | 154.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Ethan Quinn | 37c | 153.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.66 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Ethan Quinn | 64c | 152.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Ethan Quinn | 67c | 151.56$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Otto Virtanen | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Ethan Quinn | 68c | 144.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Otto Virtanen | 32c | 144$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 342 | 42.4%145 W · 197 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Otto Virtanen | 35c | 143.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Ethan Quinn | 54c | 142.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.76 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Otto Virtanen | 35c | 138.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Otto Virtanen | 35c | 137.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Otto Virtanen | 35c | 135.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Otto Virtanen | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 127 | 39.4%50 W · 77 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Otto Virtanen | 50c | 132.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd282…2d3abacked Otto Virtanen | 34c | 130.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Otto Virtanen | 33c | 126.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Ethan Quinn | 62c | 119.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Otto Virtanen | 44c | 119.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Otto Virtanen | 54c | 116.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Ethan Quinn | 50c | 115$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Otto Virtanen | 32c | 109.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Ethan Quinn | 72c | 107.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 283 | 48.4%137 W · 146 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Ethan Quinn | 57c | 106.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Ethan Quinn | 64c | 106.25$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 579 | 53.7%311 W · 268 L | +19.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…14e5backed Ethan Quinn | 66c | 103.9$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Ethan Quinn | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Ethan Quinn | 76c | 100.35$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Otto Virtanen | 27c | 100.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…aa01backed Ethan Quinn | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 333 | 64.9%216 W · 117 L | -19.4wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Ethan Quinn | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Ethan Quinn | 47c | 98.88$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Otto Virtanen | 40c | 98.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Otto Virtanenthis page
- Ethan Quinn vs. Otto Virtanen: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Quinn vs VirtanenVirtanen won
- Set Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Virtanen (+1.5)Virtanen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.