TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Rockiesof Houston Astros, Colorado Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$466,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$460,620

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,817 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 385 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe790…eadcbacked Houston Astros51c52,853$26,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,749.9621656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Colorado Rockies43c39,595$17,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,569.0355053.1%292 W · 258 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Houston Astros58c35,689$20,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,700.281,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros48c22,678$10,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,971.692,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Colorado Rockies40c21,503$8,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,868.641,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Colorado Rockies40c18,285$7,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,971.2950153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Houston Astros57c16,794$9,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,572.3718860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Colorado Rockies40c15,960$6,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,614.861,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb27c…3e53backed Colorado Rockies20c15,827$3,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,640.37728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Houston Astros33c12,645$4,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,122.5631039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros37c12,143$4,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,518.428,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Colorado Rockies44c11,739$5,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,609.651,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Houston Astros44c11,229$4,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,914.9223036.1%83 W · 147 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Colorado Rockies41c11,141$4,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,573.4321040%84 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Rockies73c10,743$7,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,931.1265050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Colorado Rockies39c10,405$4,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,307.4327351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Houston Astros62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2003357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Colorado Rockies38c8,184$3,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,073.9627254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros14c7,291$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.14,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Colorado Rockies34c7,066$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,662.0116947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Colorado Rockies41c6,590$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,908.1767849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Colorado Rockies41c6,195$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,667.4332348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies58c6,193$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,591.566,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Colorado Rockies79c5,442$4,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.8734164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros30c5,060$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.679,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Houston Astros60c4,997$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,98336649.2%180 W · 186 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Colorado Rockies37c4,868$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.596350.8%32 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Houston Astros36c4,473$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.5740629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Houston Astros61c3,906$2,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,382.93956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies42c3,906$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.4231149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Houston Astros18c3,840$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.232630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros19c3,455$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.141,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Colorado Rockies36c3,333$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,132.856653%35 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Houston Astros63c3,300$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0794443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Houston Astros39c3,019$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.3188053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros58c2,717$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.335,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Colorado Rockies72c2,692$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.2770735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Houston Astros57c2,631$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.671,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Houston Astros61c2,598$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.7214340.6%58 W · 85 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros11c2,552$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9594034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Houston Astros9c2,440$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.8316814.3%24 W · 144 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Houston Astros64c2,229$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.663240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Colorado Rockies40c2,169$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.414156%79 W · 62 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Colorado Rockies37c2,038$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.1813254.5%72 W · 60 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Houston Astros57c2,025$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.527451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Astros59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.9967250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros57c1,948$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.591,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…e0fbbacked Houston Astros63c1,936$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Houston Astros34c1,804$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.641,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Colorado Rockies35c1,770$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.684955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies50c1,674$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.045,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8a…8723backed Colorado Rockies56c1,655$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.034163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Houston Astros17c1,648$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.6346239.6%183 W · 279 L-17.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Colorado Rockies61c1,611$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3821842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e15…8ea4backed Colorado Rockies65c1,559$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.83944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Houston Astros8c1,458$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.331,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Houston Astros14c1,355$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6824040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Houston Astros63c1,311$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.245752.6%30 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Houston Astros8c1,250$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.452218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Houston Astros23c1,197$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.237051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Houston Astros58c1,146$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.681450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies63c1,134$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.511,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33ab…befcbacked Colorado Rockies37c1,100$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros27c1,070$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.8812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Houston Astros61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.0616248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Houston Astros61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6101926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-48.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Houston Astros63c996.71$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.936048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Houston Astros10c972.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.225330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Houston Astros7c964.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5531038.4%119 W · 191 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Houston Astros61c960.59$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.9632350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Houston Astros10c946$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.68845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4285…cfb5backed Houston Astros57c940.02$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.8116547.3%78 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Colorado Rockies40c928.62$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.121,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Houston Astros57c850.56$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2112262.3%76 W · 46 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Houston Astros59c848.59$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.5822548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Houston Astros74c827.54$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.3514558.6%85 W · 60 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Houston Astros27c827.27$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.5460941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Colorado Rockies35c820.78$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.812365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Houston Astros55c789.56$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.3128350.2%142 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Houston Astros58c774.21$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.041,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Houston Astros6c730.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.461,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Houston Astros67c700.86$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.2615243.4%66 W · 86 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Houston Astros60c683.2$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9211744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Houston Astros61c662.13$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.946749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Colorado Rockies35c569.56$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Houston Astros57c551$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.0775049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe006…25a1backed Houston Astros65c542.22$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Colorado Rockies36c527.19$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.8110842.6%46 W · 62 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Houston Astros59c499.99$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.992,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…8eadbacked Houston Astros59c498.8$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.563036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.3wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-36.6%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Houston Astros59c496.24$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.6221856%122 W · 96 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros59c489.23$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.36,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Colorado Rockies41c487.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.331668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Houston Astros64c485.29$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5812154.5%66 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Houston Astros38c481.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.935435.2%19 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-22.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Houston Astros63c462.6$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1412257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed Colorado Rockies36c449.07$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.42755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Houston Astros59c443.45$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.4217151.5%88 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Houston Astros64c435.04$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4350751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Colorado Rockies53c419.14$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.936,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.