MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf78968e7e925631cfd1bb9662c4627623e68db8fc867783e7caf05d717b362d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $296,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 51c | 215,963$109,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,096.59 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 140,089$68,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,562.55 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 98,354$50,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,193.42 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 49c | 48,021$23,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,541.07 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 12,242$6,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,130.04 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 10,916$5,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,509.29 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 8,335$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,208.66 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 7,304$3,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,577.1 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 3,641$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.98 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 2,712$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 50c | 1,342$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.76 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 1,057$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.2 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 48c | 970$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.6 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 49c | 391.12$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.06 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 388.53$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 336.32$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.8 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 62c | 280.46$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.18 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 254.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 247.94$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 50c | 216$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 38c | 203.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 49c | 185.49$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed Over | 52c | 162.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over | 50c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 50c | 135.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Over | 50c | 133.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.86 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 50c | 120.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 120.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 104.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 50c | 98.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 49c | 96.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Under | 50c | 86.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 49c | 78.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Over | 52c | 72.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 50c | 70.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Under | 49c | 54.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 52c | 50.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Under | 51c | 47.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Under | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 50c | 38.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 49c | 37.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 54c | 35.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 51c | 35.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 49c | 35.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Over | 51c | 34.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Over | 51c | 28.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 43c | 26.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 64c | 26.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 50c | 25.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de2…60acbacked Over | 52c | 23.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.