Bundesliga · resolved market
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a3aeb43d34e3ddbd3b6aca4a4cabee141ff6b300c54424c9b9deaa1576bd19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $203,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 13,163$6,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,426.78 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 11,483$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 51c | 9,630$4,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.58 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked No | 49c | 9,252$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,533.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 21c | 7,545$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.78 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Yes | 52c | 6,242$3,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.32 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yes | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 1c | 4,800$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 51c | 4,341$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,127.17 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 13c | 4,225$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.84 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed No | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 51c | 4,107$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 47c | 3,840$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.77 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 3,682$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.59 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 4c | 2,983$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…90cbbacked No | 50c | 2,870$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 13c | 2,680$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.36 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.83 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 49c | 2,047$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.95 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 52c | 1,744$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 48c | 1,719$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 50c | 1,601$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 1,474$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.16 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 53c | 1,365$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.32 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 51c | 1,356$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.66 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 26c | 1,351$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.62 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 1,256$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.19 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed No | 48c | 1,095$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 48c | 1,014$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.94 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.91 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 50c | 971.92$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 52c | 960$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.8 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 876.11$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.64 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 826.26$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 799.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 767.9$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.99 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 52c | 710.94$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.06 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed No | 4c | 648.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 49c | 629.07$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…9c9abacked No | 48c | 613$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 47c | 589.44$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.03 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 72c | 529.57$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 77c | 520.08$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 29c | 500$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.39 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Yes | 53c | 471.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.69 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 52c | 469.37$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.3 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked No | 18c | 398.8$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.95 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes | 51c | 392.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 52c | 361.35$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 47c | 359.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.86 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 20c | 357.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 20c | 356.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 31c | 349.42$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.36 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed No | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.41per pick | 32cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d6…b98cbacked Yes | 51c | 293.14$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 73c | 284.32$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…ed5fbacked Yes | 71c | 269.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 253.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 48c | 240.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.65 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 49c | 239.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.26 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 51c | 227.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 49c | 220.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.26 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…af78backed Yes | 51c | 213.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +85%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 207.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8682…15a9backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…6ecabacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Yes | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked Yes | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked No | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 50c | 199.68$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…65e7backed Yes | 51c | 197.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7b…9ab9backed Yes | 51c | 196.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed No | 47c | 196.1$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 51c | 194.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 49c | 194$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 72c | 191.95$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…1b83backed Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 51c | 182.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.93 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 79c | 169$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will SV Werder Bremen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.