TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$924,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,019,944

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $924,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1bc0…4429backed Nets8c253,081$21,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,380.9948343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd937…d226backed Nets8c24,305$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,884.381643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Nets8c20,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9921951.1%112 W · 107 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets4c17,357$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.92,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Nets6c16,700$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.0149244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Nets7c14,981$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.71,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets6c14,744$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.91,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x851c…dafdbacked Nets0c14,101$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.17634.2%26 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Nets5c12,831$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.5756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Nets7c12,500$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.9747028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nets4c9,469$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.311,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Nets0c8,655$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.158820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Nets7c7,429$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.041,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets7c6,834$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.744,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5daa…b7a9backed Nets8c6,100$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nets4c6,005$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.172,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Nets8c6,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48023742.6%101 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Nets7c6,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42086641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fc…5c09backed Nets10c5,800$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.991050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nets5c5,130$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.451,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe10f…8799backed Nets9c4,889$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.9wins+0.35per pick47cpaid+59.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed Nets11c4,733$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.6325947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets8c4,441$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.241,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Nets8c4,252$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.1311235.7%40 W · 72 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Nets8c4,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33665939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets4c3,940$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.222,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets4c3,701$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.012,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Nets7c3,600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9943438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a8e…6dd0backed Nets8c3,543$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.442240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Nets1c3,017$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.517211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets5c2,850$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Nets4c2,654$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3925226.6%67 W · 185 L-26.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa5b…88acbacked Nets8c2,510$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.77742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+88.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Nets5c2,418$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.721,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd7…8131backed Nets8c2,362$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.962638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Nets8c2,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16068944%303 W · 386 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Nets7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Nets8c1,994$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4829250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Nets4c1,941$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8411033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Nets8c1,890$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1730845.8%141 W · 167 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a28…cf73backed Nets9c1,691$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.221127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-40.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae8…c9a3backed Nets6c1,590$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Nets9c1,533$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4365349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Nets8c1,509$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets5c1,461$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.053,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nets9c1,451$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.291,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Nets9c1,451$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Nets9c1,451$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Nets2c1,344$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6636023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x046c…8ca3backed Nets7c1,290$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.39330.1%28 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6cf…6bb8backed Nets8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…de1ebacked Nets8c1,181$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4817944.1%79 W · 100 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Nets7c1,122$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5161336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nets9c1,079$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets3c1,061$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.711,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a7…e767backed Nets8c1,059$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Nets9c1,050$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5429635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ccf…947bbacked Nets2c1,014$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.270%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Nets7c1,004$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2718043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Nets5c1,003$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.315219.7%30 W · 122 L-26.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-63.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nets4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4089444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…0779backed Nets8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8053939.5%213 W · 326 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x461e…c18ebacked Nets5c985.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.146716.4%11 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Nets8c944.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5810041%41 W · 59 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Nets8c944.8$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5819735%69 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa701…86a3backed Nets5c943$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.15185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f4…491abacked Nets8c937.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.041471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Nets3c859$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.652,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Nets2c784.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.835133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nets8c776.63$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.131,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72ad…67f7backed Nets8c774.74$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.981947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4017…46eebacked Nets5c757.56$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.983246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66d5…ee81backed Nets9c756.32$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.079149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…afdabacked Nets9c709.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.819346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Nets3c656.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.966546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Nets8c628.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3135052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Nets8c628.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3113541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Nets7c622.18$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.554513.3%6 W · 39 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Nets8c614.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.139545.3%43 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Nets4c600$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2818632.3%60 W · 126 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Nets8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2453348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Nets8c590.5$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2413544.4%60 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Nets9c567.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0526530.9%82 W · 183 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Nets10c551.16$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3664347.7%307 W · 336 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5e…81ffbacked Nets8c524.88$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.992250%11 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca85…fe6cbacked Nets3c521.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.234240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Nets2c488.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.713318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick10cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x184c…be31backed Nets8c486.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.931050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f7a…2488backed Nets8c472.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.79160%0 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5e89…cab7backed Nets8c472.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.792236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Nets8c458.89$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7641832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf04a…c6f0backed Nets8c444.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.522227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nets9c441.47$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked Nets3c441.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.221921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Nets8c425.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0132952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22cf…b815backed Nets4c424.16$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.191513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-77.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Nets8c407.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9912250.8%62 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Nets6c400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2227247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Nets9c397.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7411453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Nets3c392.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6610028%28 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.