NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 226.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed9bf594333644054c257fb63cccabcf389418290aa8ff7b237b7cc9b5b6eb26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 11,485$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,724.54 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…2e60backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa792…7a71backed Over | 48c | 3,603$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,501$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 54c | 1,681$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.84 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…d368backed Under | 50c | 1,455$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfac9…614ebacked Under | 50c | 1,261$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under | 52c | 1,253$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.68 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 1,214$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.03 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…5117backed Under | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 1,146$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…87b6backed Under | 53c | 1,045$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.93 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 49c | 626.49$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.54 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 54c | 589.1$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.31 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 15c | 506.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 55c | 353.82$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 54c | 350$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 24c | 346.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 315.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 46c | 294.49$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 13c | 287$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 245.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.42 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 50c | 204.56$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 150.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 45c | 142.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Under | 52c | 136.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.18 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 54c | 125.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 46c | 118.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.87 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 118.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 52c | 113.63$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 50c | 91.07$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Under | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 27c | 77.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed Over | 51c | 76.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…2517backed Over | 47c | 69.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed Under | 54c | 54.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 52.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d63…0b78backed Over | 62c | 50.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 55c | 48.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Under | 34c | 40.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…4e17backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 38.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 55c | 35.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Over | 49c | 28.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 28.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29e1…36d5backed Under | 53c | 21.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 21.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 47c | 21.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…c307backed Under | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked Under | 52c | 19.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 55c | 18.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 226.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-9.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. NetsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Nets: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 235.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 236.5Over won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Hawks (-14.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-15.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-16.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-17.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-18.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-21.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-24.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.