TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Hawks (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$192,189
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,189 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb7…1f17backed Hawks60c43,307$25,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,366.642348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Nets47c18,925$8,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,894.9214842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets43c13,761$5,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,860.149,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Hawks61c8,034$4,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,148.121,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Nets48c7,696$3,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,683.052,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfc…6762backed Nets47c4,627$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,169.181931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Hawks55c3,892$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets46c3,615$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,656.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks54c3,524$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.14,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Hawks55c3,009$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.5721350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Nets35c2,643$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.911,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Nets45c2,116$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.021,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Nets44c1,823$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.381,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Hawks58c1,497$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.885250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Hawks75c1,441$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3243269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Hawks57c1,418$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.155463%34 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Nets47c1,297$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.7190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Nets47c1,030$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Hawks56c869.29$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.494264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks54c714.56$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.312,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0258…06d0backed Nets47c697.06$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0711033.6%37 W · 73 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets30c685.23$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.592,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Nets7c656.64$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.483039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Nets50c655.34$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.8391846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nets52c600.11$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.51,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Hawks74c596.77$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7346258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets45c530.4$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.614,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nets33c530.14$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9489444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Nets55c525.13$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8160444.2%267 W · 337 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nets48c519.14$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.961,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Hawks64c508.54$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.4420353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Hawks48c505.03$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.6110753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Hawks52c466.9$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1119258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Nets44c448.01$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Hawks63c415.44$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.61,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1cc…1958backed Hawks57c401.3$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.892458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Hawks59c399.07$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7619550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Nets49c397.16$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hawks63c380.05$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.391,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Nets28c366.9$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.491,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2685…bb3abacked Hawks55c340.55$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.254264.3%27 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked Hawks53c323.36$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.173056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Nets15c313$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6980440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nets48c308$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3621443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked Nets30c307.45$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.281921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Hawks46c295.35$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.492,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Nets15c270$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.940440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets36c267.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.463,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets50c265.53$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.513,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nets31c257$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.811,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Hawks54c250.23$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.693543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Nets41c233.03$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5265349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Hawks59c222.85$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.134953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Hawks58c211.12$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7913052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets36c210.26$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Nets37c208$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0436154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Nets47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.821,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nets47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Nets55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11025550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Hawks55c194.6$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5761957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Nets33c186.59$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6652053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Hawks57c180.85$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4895049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1b…7768backed Hawks52c161.85$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6927645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks45c158.85$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.373,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Hawks55c153$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8d6…4af7backed Hawks58c150.02$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.695269.2%36 W · 16 L+11.8wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Nets31c141.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.9434255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nets35c129.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.583,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Nets45c127.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Hawks60c123.02$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.317751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nets44c122.71$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.992,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2e…3ef0backed Hawks53c120.2$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4926345.6%120 W · 143 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b7…ae1dbacked Hawks55c118.58$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.369450%47 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Nets47c118.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Hawks51c113.29$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.693554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Hawks55c107.83$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5420240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Hawks73c107.24$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.529665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb51…733cbacked Nets47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4111542.6%49 W · 66 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Nets20c102.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.952449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Hawks54c99.04$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5618456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Hawks57c97.81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0640750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a5c…0fc2backed Hawks56c97.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8410255.9%57 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7de8…0a3bbacked Nets44c96.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.852951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Hawks54c93.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.167949.8%338 W · 341 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Nets47c92.31$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0756447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c4…ffc4backed Hawks71c89.29$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.113852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Hawks57c88.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8714852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Hawks55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.82369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Hawks55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.838152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3972…81f6backed Hawks55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Hawks56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.253560%21 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8035…f36dbacked Hawks51c83.69$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.121926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Nets35c81.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.528551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Hawks55c81.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.621,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Hawks63c79.64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1138751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Hawks57c75.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5249247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Nets35c75$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2533030.9%102 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Nets47c73.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.452,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nets24c72.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.631,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.