TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 225.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,791
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,791 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c14,436$7,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,224.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over49c12,937$6,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,597.7811137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c9,244$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,529.541,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c6,887$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.972,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c4,643$2,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,455.982,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over63c3,450$2,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.952,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Under50c3,276$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.3612240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c2,969$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.361,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Over47c1,940$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.0124151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c1,867$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.241,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c1,816$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.54,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c1,671$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.33,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,616$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.181,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under51c1,437$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.022,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under51c1,432$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.013,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under51c1,413$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.7314441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Over70c1,404$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.126764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under24c1,312$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.881,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Under51c1,178$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.747236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over52c1,111$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.2776249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over52c1,041$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6817637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under49c989.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under51c980.3$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8644345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa792…7a71backed Over48c954.66$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.43450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2953…5344backed Over48c954$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.082568%17 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.350954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under49c869.92$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.571,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under49c869.92$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c694.22$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.361,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Under7c600$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4211538.3%44 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over52c599.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under51c589.13$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9734953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c560.39$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.331,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under52c539.02$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.2937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under49c522.1$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.7119550.8%99 W · 96 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under49c512.06$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.7714852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c495.09$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.431,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under21c492.15$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5119246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c475.48$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under52c466.92$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.819258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under45c429.48$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.283,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under49c418.38$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5956447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under20c403$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.262931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4efc…6391backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2045853.4%31 W · 27 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over49c395.95$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0821950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under40c320.19$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.661,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under12c300.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0220837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.792,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Over66c297.17$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2511873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over48c290.64$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1332450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c255.45$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.711,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under52c249.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.7522752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c227$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over50c218.25$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.134847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over49c199.98$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9928852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under48c196.64$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3915252.6%80 W · 72 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Under49c193.88$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957935.4%28 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b15…2a05backed Over48c191.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a89…76ecbacked Under51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.061464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1835052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over53c183.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1851647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Over59c165.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.162740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c164.43$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.866,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over51c159.17$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under50c150.15$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under52c142.77$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2429352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over78c141.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.042,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c126.33$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3842853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under53c123.32$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1613052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under51c121.35$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8917250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Under53c120.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.054654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under45c120.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.458146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over52c118.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under53c111.85$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.285448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under48c105.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6825641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under12c103.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8429449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.489848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4835849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccd…1ec9backed Under53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over49c97.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6221350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.51,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009b…e769backed Over51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5612357.7%71 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.821,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0914444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Under53c89.14$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.255250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under53c85.56$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.359338.7%36 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over49c81.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Over49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.822942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae6f…6c9bbacked Under52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Under51c72.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.139958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under53c72.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.37751.9%40 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Under51c66.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9615649.4%77 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Under54c60.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4111851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.988657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Under53c54.92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.117751.9%40 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under49c53.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4449249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under53c52.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8238751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c51.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…b9b3backed Over48c50.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.243943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over67c49.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2137753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.