TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Nets: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c19,871$10,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,649.821,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c14,704$6,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,929.489,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over52c12,292$6,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,916.2611137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd9b…64ffbacked Under49c10,663$5,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,225.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,799.9749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb66a…800ebacked Over52c9,729$5,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,670.33955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Under48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40016346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under48c1,901$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.6170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c1,883$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.361,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over52c1,561$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.591,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c1,070$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.552,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Under47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47027241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under14c994.79$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0121443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under48c893.23$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.7531643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.1468645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c676.64$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.556,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c513$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.3756843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over56c505.13$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c447.86$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under48c419.92$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.5281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2630…e941backed Over55c408.66$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.942845.1%193 W · 235 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e9…6d8ebacked Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19615446.1%71 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd7…eac9backed Under49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Over54c387.16$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0918543.2%80 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under51c329.52$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.156447.9%270 W · 294 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under47c299.34$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9849249.8%245 W · 247 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under15c273.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9620837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over52c261.6$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8462744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over56c225.98$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.581,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over56c216.92$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under48c206.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9933748.1%162 W · 175 L-1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9466046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over52c197.46$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under46c195.35$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8425641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over52c181.88$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.34734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c180.28$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.981,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over56c174.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7535052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over56c174.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7551647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c171.18$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.451,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under47c171.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4820240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c156.25$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over52c153.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5110850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c150.15$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under46c149.26$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.273,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under48c142.22$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0493543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over53c131.19$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6642853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c122.7$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.932,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over51c111$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3926745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under45c107.44$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3565349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over52c104.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.111,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over52c100.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over55c99.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9969049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c97.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6260346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over52c92.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4467248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c78.05$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.315,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c76.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.961,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under45c71.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1217643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over54c60.73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2114852.7%78 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over52c58.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.139646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Over51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9822249.5%110 W · 112 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under48c56.49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.126336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb0…3a13backed Over52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.891050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8933251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f76…9798backed Over53c55.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9413554.8%74 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over52c52.3$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.138453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3603…b9b3backed Under49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.243943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under48c49.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5896956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over55c47.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3259250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under49c47.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1380653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under30c46.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8429449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over55c41.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0434953%185 W · 164 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c7…4459backed Over67c40.92$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3311753.8%63 W · 54 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c40.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over52c38.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.511,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aab…aa7dbacked Under48c37.36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9360%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over52c33.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0522454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over55c32.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3861151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over55c32.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3853348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Over55c32.27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3813541.5%56 W · 79 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Over55c31.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1414359.4%85 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over56c29.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9716053.8%86 W · 74 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7de8…0a3bbacked Under49c28.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.112951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe35…6789backed Over51c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9915054.7%82 W · 68 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…2eaabacked Over52c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.451758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Over55c26.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.944450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Over55c26.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.944748.9%23 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e68…75bbbacked Over67c24.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.995569.1%38 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2114640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.219848%47 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Over56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.217248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2157051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Over56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.215653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda47…c2e9backed Under46c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.581553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd364…5115backed Over53c21.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.02850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Over54c19.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.956746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.