TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$435,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed No66c61,799$40,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,011.811747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c33,260$11,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,463.8450243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes21c32,822$6,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,950.5490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c28,631$18,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,874.881,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes38c14,085$5,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,336.988461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x57a6…bca4backed Yes11c11,951$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.393633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No80c11,850$9,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.533,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes15c11,238$1,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.096437.5%24 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes30c11,168$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes34c9,896$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,315.599244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2c…a07dbacked Yes4c9,353$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.37633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No73c8,932$6,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,425.741,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No74c6,515$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,695.871,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No66c6,158$4,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.678756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes34c5,861$1,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,992.649447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ed…459dbacked Yes4c5,509$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.52425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd801…ab8bbacked Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No66c4,055$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.566746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes4c3,236$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.251643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+82.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Yes4c3,143$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.4166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.99757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes34c2,865$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.117241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes33c2,858$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.4333734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No66c2,829$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9629058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes40c2,766$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.79851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No66c2,500$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.6664457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa099…5623backed Yes5c2,349$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4815…8ba4backed Yes34c2,260$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.321926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c2,161$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.1758548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked No64c2,085$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6607667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.947561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes5c1,971$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.291435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d4…7a70backed Yes5c1,964$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.29425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Yes34c1,853$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.02250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes4c1,820$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.09650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No65c1,440$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.932646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes35c1,439$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.3911333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32c…ff08backed Yes36c1,336$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.8944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes34c1,226$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.8428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x516c…8bb5backed Yes13c1,200$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e04…57c7backed Yes5c1,187$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.57825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…2c71backed Yes4c1,179$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes34c1,130$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.1622335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Yes33c1,100$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Yes34c1,048$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.112864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes15c949$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.354634.8%16 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x447d…bd4abacked Yes21c924.59$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.934238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Yes34c841.76$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.21145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes4c841.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7110230.4%31 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No64c808.55$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9910268.6%70 W · 32 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf40b…3914backed Yes3c798.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e01…271fbacked Yes4c753.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.211637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes34c748.55$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.517850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed No67c725.13$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.924755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No74c675.99$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.5711266.1%74 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes23c662.03$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.185738.6%22 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd473…84e4backed Yes5c584.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.29616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f30…c7bbbacked Yes34c570.56$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes5c565.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.292839.3%11 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No65c558.2$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.372657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No79c556.14$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.276373%46 W · 17 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes34c550.51$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1311542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4192…d6aabacked No66c540.18$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.952263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa46d…d8e5backed No66c534.55$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.982268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No65c515.89$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.448153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes34c508.45$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.875248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No67c508.24$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.722755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c496.81$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.942,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c469.18$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes3c457.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.831330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+211%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2666…76e5backed Yes35c447.61$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0577…02ccbacked No67c431.16$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.441172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes33c417.48$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.771,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes28c412$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9835145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No65c399.96$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Yes37c398.43$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x447e…ba40backed Yes5c394.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.481118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-54.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b6a…8aa7backed No67c391.96$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.311275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5660…1707backed No67c391.96$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes21c386.61$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.373834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf12f…6f41backed Yes4c344.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1440%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d63…ed55backed Yes6c338.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.87922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No67c332.61$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.641,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No63c330.34$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0150149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No67c324.08$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9423947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes6c314.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8720630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c302.43$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2563553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes33c290.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.985440.7%22 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes20c289.56$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.645529.1%16 W · 39 L-7.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes34c288.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.962944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked Yes34c285.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…431dbacked Yes35c283.93$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.992835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.042152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d25…5529backed Yes34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.042626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes34c282.47$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.044367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked No66c280.66$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.426464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf4…3d38backed Yes35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.11225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb8e…962bbacked Yes35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.11741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f17…66c7backed Yes35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.11833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.