TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f17…66c7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.87
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$270.37
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$222.58
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$392.4
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
France leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.65
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.93
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$69.11
Will Austria win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$52.57
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$61.78
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.78
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33.89
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$345.41
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.72
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.77
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.21
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.66
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.83
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.32
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.85
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.56
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.19
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.36
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$59.37
All 18 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.72
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.28
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$39.7
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.46
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$50.46
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.94
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$48.24
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$159.67
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.7
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+77%+$150.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.07
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$40.85
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$79.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$488.24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$59.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$12.95
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.09
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$43.43
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.74
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.34
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.12
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.33
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+20.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-62.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$27.58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.