TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa796…82fdbacked Yes48c10,092$4,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,247.67560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No51c4,773$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.582,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No51c3,838$1,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.34953.1%26 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c3,076$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.455,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5607552%39 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No34c2,481$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.72,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes70c2,296$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.226451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes69c2,220$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.93860.5%23 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes50c1,980$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.458549.4%42 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No9c1,900$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.392,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No36c1,794$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.782,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No52c1,750$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91010057%57 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No51c1,530$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.084436.4%16 W · 28 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes49c1,427$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.013435.3%12 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No31c1,370$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.871,28250.2%644 W · 638 L-25.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e9…bc32backed Yes49c1,322$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No30c1,313$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0394043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No52c1,309$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.0911254.5%61 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe339…a166backed Yes53c1,064$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No11c1,049$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5913626.5%36 W · 100 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes77c1,015$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.3413336.1%48 W · 85 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked No53c954.9$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.662564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No16c770.36$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5892043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No52c716.66$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.6613755.5%76 W · 61 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked No24c694.45$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9124030.4%73 W · 167 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes49c673.45$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.4626549.4%131 W · 134 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed Yes76c611.5$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.532860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Yes54c603.85$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5320572.2%148 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No8c591.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7887745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c511.65$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.512,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608554.1%46 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26014050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84e5…6d71backed Yes68c475.98$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.311060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No55c443.37$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.239755.7%54 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2089761.9%60 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2086651.5%34 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2087152.1%37 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No24c381.48$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7798653.2%525 W · 461 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Yes48c360.24$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No47c331.05$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.198254.9%45 W · 37 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No12c307.34$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.747926.9%129 W · 350 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No51c300.28$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1585250.4%429 W · 423 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Yes49c299.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.999644.8%43 W · 53 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No48c260$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.81,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010458.7%61 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1309256.5%52 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72bd…d37abacked Yes49c249.34$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.194551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes49c244.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.912746.5%59 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No47c242.66$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.874854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb370…1e7fbacked Yes49c242.35$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No52c238.86$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.230646.7%143 W · 163 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No51c237.15$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9454650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes56c232.34$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3144768%304 W · 143 L+52.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c226.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.441,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes46c210.35$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Yes48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.954233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.93441.2%14 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+61.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes70c192.07$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5686960.4%525 W · 344 L+91.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Yes46c153.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.224153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.511657.8%67 W · 49 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7257019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c4…c488backed Yes49c145.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f17…66c7backed Yes69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.09966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes70c140.29$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0921256.6%120 W · 92 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes49c139.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.28944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Yes71c137.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.531770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb3…9818backed Yes44c134.66$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No53c123.28$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3466047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No53c119.98$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5928446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe497…2b89backed Yes69c113.79$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.272356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes45c106.91$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+85.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No10c104.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2967348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf162…c78ebacked Yes47c103$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.484100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+80.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013265.2%86 W · 46 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527844.9%35 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529258.7%54 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5151356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes49c98.93$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.457353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Yes49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.457448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562a…a736backed Yes49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x572e…ac69backed No51c87.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.553775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No51c82.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9538358.7%225 W · 158 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No51c82.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9532259.3%191 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd1…0fe7backed Yes46c81.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.15757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…aea3backed No13c80.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c80.58$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.147,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe361…9ea8backed Yes50c77.21$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No52c75$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912655.6%70 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No48c70.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7213864.5%89 W · 49 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No51c70.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.721,15960.7%703 W · 456 L+68.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a66…48c7backed Yes49c69.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.317100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95ed…b7adbacked Yes50c67.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.