Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc76f5ca14a8336869e285fca84b14977290363ab88945f4705340d90969afca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 5c | 2,204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 1,391$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.58 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 73c | 984.99$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 73c | 291$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 22c | 205.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 10c | 197.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 169.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 136.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked No | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked No | 80c | 129.23$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 117.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 73c | 98.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 28c | 98.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e1…62a2backed No | 75c | 98.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 29c | 97.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 82.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 67.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 50.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 37.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed No | 74c | 30.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…23d0backed No | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 72c | 24.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 72c | 18.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 72c | 16.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 72c | 16.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NAC Breda win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will NAC Breda vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.