Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d18dbaab2cacc1cdf489cd0fff94e2637035f551e1583354ab21a612959df05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $494,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $468,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 37c | 183,815$68,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,119.22 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 62,835$39,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,305.15 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 41c | 47,884$19,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,637.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 59c | 46,136$27,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,915.78 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed No | 63c | 39,104$24,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,597.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 38,694$28,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,313.04 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 19c | 36,418$7,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,021.67 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Yes | 38c | 27,867$10,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,589.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 63c | 20,585$12,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,616.45 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…8eebbacked No | 63c | 14,111$8,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,220.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 70c | 14,046$9,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.82 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 10,511$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.22 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 62c | 9,000$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Yes | 38c | 8,918$3,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 62c | 6,306$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.21 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 18c | 5,794$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.96 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 62c | 5,568$3,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.86 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 36c | 5,486$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.09 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 41c | 5,198$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.98 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 5,172$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.16 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 40c | 4,710$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 4,545$3,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.16 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 61c | 4,138$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,613.66 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 62c | 3,901$2,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.41 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 67c | 3,762$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.83 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 67c | 3,762$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.83 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 2,956$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 41c | 2,894$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.46 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 63c | 2,768$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.86 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 8c | 2,694$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.59 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 60c | 2,500$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.64 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 38c | 2,007$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.65 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 62c | 1,976$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.4 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 20c | 1,966$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -62%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 60c | 1,952$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 38c | 1,866$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.49 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,642$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…e112backed Yes | 39c | 1,533$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 39c | 1,226$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.33 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 63c | 1,222$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.23 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +10.4wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 62c | 1,186$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.24 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 41c | 1,176$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Yes | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 61c | 1,085$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.42 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Yes | 20c | 1,078$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267a…79ebbacked No | 62c | 1,050$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 37c | 1,022$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.67 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.1 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,005$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85e5…9343backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 62c | 988$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.2 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 64c | 978.4$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.22 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 63c | 904.45$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.78 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 63c | 830.68$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.35 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 63c | 830.68$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.35 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 63c | 828.51$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.69 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 4c | 798.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 96 | 21.9%21 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 62c | 788.13$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.5 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 72c | 786.81$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 786.79$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.35 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 62c | 784.65$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.95 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 75c | 782.47$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.17 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 2c | 759.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 59c | 754.53$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.56 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 63c | 731.79$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.76 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 708.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 72c | 680.91$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 38c | 632.47$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 75c | 609.74$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed No | 62c | 592.8$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 581.41$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.12 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Yes | 4c | 579.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 21c | 535.8$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.63 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 61c | 526.48$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked No | 62c | 488.6$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.67 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 474.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 41c | 436.96$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 39c | 404.57$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.18 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 62c | 394.03$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Yes | 39c | 371.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…4e5fbacked No | 62c | 354.1$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 42c | 348.1$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 59c | 342.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.37 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 7c | 318.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 63c | 304.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.64 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.